Tennis · ATP Vienna · 27/10, 11:00
Prediction: Alexander Zverev vs Martin Landaluce
Team pages: Alexander Zverev · Martin Landaluce
Prediction summary
Winner
Alexander Zverev
Martin Landaluce
Estimated games
24.9Bet365 line 19.5
Recent form · 10 last
Alexander Zverev
10-0 (W-L)
Martin Landaluce
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Alexander Zverev 1625 · Martin Landaluce 1506
| Alexander Zverev | Martin Landaluce | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 66% | 34% |
| Market | 88% | 12% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Alexander Zverev (rating 1625 vs 1506).
- Alexander Zverev dominates on serve: 11.9 aces and 42.8% break avg.
Statistics
| Alexander Zverev | Martin Landaluce | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 70% (10) | 50% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.7-0.8 | 1.3-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 14.8-12.5 | 11.8-11.8 |
| Aces | 11.9 | 4.1 |
| Double faults | 1.3 | 3.1 |
| 1st serve % | 77.6% | 69.2% |
| Break % | 42.8% | 35.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
24.9 · Bet365 line 19.5 · +5.4
Over 19.5: 83% · 1.72
Under 19.5: 17% · 2.00
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Alexander Zverev
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/10 | Alejandro Davidovich Fokina ATP Shanghai · Hard |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 15/10 | Alex De Minaur ATP Shanghai · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 13/10 | Alexander Bublik ATP Shanghai · Hard |
2-1 | 18-18 | W |
| 11/10 | Quentin Halys ATP Shanghai · Hard |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
| 09/10 | Yibing Wu ATP Shanghai · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 04/10 | Novak Djokovic ATP Beijing · Hard |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 03/10 | Juncheng Shang ATP Beijing · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 01/10 | Cameron Norrie ATP Beijing · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 27/09 | Learner Tien Laver Cup · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 26/09 | Alex De Minaur Laver Cup · Hard |
1-2 | 21-20 | L |
Martin Landaluce
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/10 | Stan Wawrinka ATP Lyon · Hard |
1-2 | 16-19 | L |
| 18/10 | Mattia Bellucci Challenger Jinan · Hard |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 17/10 | Liam Draxl Challenger Jinan · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 16/10 | Keegan Smith Challenger Jinan · Hard |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 14/10 | Jie Cui Challenger Jinan · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 13/10 | Ilia Simakin Challenger Jinan · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 08/10 | Jan-Lennard Struff ATP Shanghai · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 28/09 | Marco Trungelliti ATP Beijing · Hard |
1-2 | 14-19 | L |
| 20/09 | Matias Soto Davis Cup |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 08/09 | Dusan Lajovic Challenger Seville · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Alexander Zverev vs Martin Landaluce?
Our model gives 78% to Alexander Zverev, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.