Tennis · ATP Vienna · 24/10, 11:30
Prediction: Vit Kopriva vs Lukas Neumayer
Team pages: Vit Kopriva · Lukas Neumayer
Prediction summary
Winner
Vit Kopriva
Lukas Neumayer
Estimated games
22.2Bet365 line 23.5
Recent form · 10 last
Vit Kopriva
2-8 (W-L)
Lukas Neumayer
4-6 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Vit Kopriva
1–2
Lukas Neumayer
(3 last)
- 03 Jun1-2 14-14L
- 23 Oct0-2 6-13L
- 23 Jul2-1 15-11W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Vit Kopriva 1413 · Lukas Neumayer 1526
| Vit Kopriva | Lukas Neumayer | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 34% | 66% |
| Market | 54% | 46% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Lukas Neumayer (rating 1413 vs 1526).
- Lukas Neumayer is in better form: 60% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Vit Kopriva 1–2 Lukas Neumayer (3).
Statistics
| Vit Kopriva | Lukas Neumayer | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 20% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 20% (10) | – |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.6-1.7 | 1.4-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.6-12.8 | 12.3-11.2 |
| Aces | 4.3 | 2.4 |
| Double faults | 2.4 | 1.7 |
| 1st serve % | 67.8% | 65.1% |
| Break % | 39.3% | 48.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.2 · Bet365 line 23.5 · -1.3
Over 23.5: 41% · 1.83
Under 23.5: 59% · 1.83
H2H · Vit Kopriva 1 – 2 Lukas Neumayer (3)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Vit Kopriva 1–2 Lukas Neumayer
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 03/06/25 Challenger Prostejov | 1-2 | 14-14 | L |
| 23/10/23 Challenger Curitiba | 0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 23/07/22 ATP Kitzbuhel | 2-1 | 15-11 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Vit Kopriva
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/10 | Keegan Smith Challenger Jinan · Hard |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 08/10 | Zizou Bergs ATP Shanghai · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 28/09 | Alex Molcan ATP Beijing · Hard |
1-2 | 18-16 | L |
| 25/09 | Denis Shapovalov ATP Chengdu · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 23/09 | Jia Hu ATP Chengdu · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 30/08 | Tomas Martin Etcheverry US Open · Hard |
0-3 | 7-18 | L |
| 22/08 | Lloyd Harris Challenger Cancun · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 20/08 | Gauthier Onclin Challenger Cancun · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 14/08 | Quentin Halys ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 05/08 | Jiri Lehecka ATP Montreal · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Lukas Neumayer
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/10 | Matej Dodig Challenger Maia · Clay |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 14/10 | Elmer Moller Challenger Maia · Clay |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 10/10 | Matej Dodig Challenger Braga · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 09/10 | Max Alcala Gurri Challenger Braga · Clay |
2-1 | 18-11 | W |
| 08/10 | Olle Wallin Challenger Braga · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 07/10 | Florian Broska Challenger Braga · Clay |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 25/09 | Luka Mikrut Challenger Genoa · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 23/09 | Juan Cruz Martin Manzano Challenger Genoa · Clay |
2-1 | 12-11 | W |
| 22/09 | Stefano D'Agostino Challenger Genoa · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 18/09 | Zizou Bergs Davis Cup |
1-2 | 12-14 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Vit Kopriva vs Lukas Neumayer?
Our model gives 55% to Lukas Neumayer, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.