Tennis · ATP Vienna · 24/10, 14:30
Prediction: Fabian Marozsan vs Sebastian Sorger
Team pages: Fabian Marozsan · Sebastian Sorger
Prediction summary
Winner
Fabian Marozsan
Sebastian Sorger
Estimated games
23Bet365 line 19.5
Recent form · 10 last
Fabian Marozsan
5-5 (W-L)
Sebastian Sorger
8-2 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Fabian Marozsan
1–0
Sebastian Sorger
(1 last)
- 01 May2-0 12-3W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Fabian Marozsan 1512 · Sebastian Sorger 1492
| Fabian Marozsan | Sebastian Sorger | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 53% | 47% |
| Market | 85% | 15% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Fabian Marozsan 1–0 Sebastian Sorger (1).
Statistics
| Fabian Marozsan | Sebastian Sorger | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 56% (9) | – |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1.1 | 1.4-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.6-12.4 | 12.4-10.7 |
| Aces | 4.3 | 2.1 |
| Double faults | 2.4 | 2 |
| 1st serve % | 71% | 67.9% |
| Break % | 33.6% | 56.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23 · Bet365 line 19.5 · +3.5
Over 19.5: 73% · 1.83
Under 19.5: 27% · 1.83
H2H · Fabian Marozsan 1 – 0 Sebastian Sorger (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Fabian Marozsan 1–0 Sebastian Sorger
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 01/05/22 Challenger Mauthausen | 2-0 | 12-3 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Fabian Marozsan
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/10 | Timofey Skatov ATP Almaty · Hard |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 08/10 | Zachary Svajda ATP Shanghai · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 27/09 | Kyrian Jacquet ATP Hangzhou · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 25/09 | Taro Daniel ATP Hangzhou · Hard |
2-1 | 20-18 | W |
| 24/09 | Alex Bolt ATP Hangzhou · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 18/09 | Louis Van Herck Davis Cup |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 02/09 | Michael Zheng US Open · Hard |
0-3 | 10-18 | L |
| 28/08 | James Duckworth ATP Winston-Salem · Hard |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
| 27/08 | Martin Damm ATP Winston-Salem · Hard |
2-1 | 14-12 | W |
| 26/08 | Miomir Kecmanovic ATP Winston-Salem · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Sebastian Sorger
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/10 | Finn Murgett M25 Redbridge |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 20/10 | Rhys Lawlor M25 Redbridge |
2-1 | 19-16 | W |
| 23/09 | Stepan Baum M25 Pardubice |
1-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 07/09 | Martin Krumich Challenger Tulln · Clay |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 03/09 | Valerio Aboian Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
1-2 | 9-18 | L |
| 01/09 | Petr Brunclik Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 29/08 | Samuele Pieri M25 Maribor |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 28/08 | Giuseppe La Vela M25 Maribor |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 27/08 | Miha Vetrih M25 Maribor |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 26/08 | Jan Kupcic M25 Maribor |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Fabian Marozsan vs Sebastian Sorger?
Our model gives 71% to Fabian Marozsan, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.