Tennis · ATP Vienna · 24/10, 14:00
Prediction: Alex Molcan vs Hamad Medjedovic
Team pages: Alex Molcan · Hamad Medjedovic
Prediction summary
Winner
Alex Molcan
Hamad Medjedovic
Estimated games
23.7
Recent form · 10 last
Alex Molcan
5-5 (W-L)
Hamad Medjedovic
4-6 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Alex Molcan
1–0
Hamad Medjedovic
(1 last)
- 24 May2-0 12-7W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Alex Molcan 1517 · Hamad Medjedovic 1418
| Alex Molcan | Hamad Medjedovic | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 64% | 36% |
| Market | 44% | 56% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Alex Molcan (rating 1517 vs 1418).
- Alex Molcan is in better form: 50% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Alex Molcan 1–0 Hamad Medjedovic (1).
- Note: Hamad Medjedovic makes many double faults (4.3/match).
Statistics
| Alex Molcan | Hamad Medjedovic | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 20% |
| Win % · Hard | 67% (6) | 0% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.3 | 0.8-1.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.5-11.5 | 12.1-15.2 |
| Aces | 4 | 8.6 |
| Double faults | 1.5 | 4.3 |
| 1st serve % | 71% | 74% |
| Break % | 35% | 15.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.7
H2H · Alex Molcan 1 – 0 Hamad Medjedovic (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Alex Molcan 1–0 Hamad Medjedovic
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24/05/21 ATP Belgrade | 2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Alex Molcan
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/10 | Federico Cina ATP Shanghai · Hard |
2-1 | 16-9 | W |
| 02/10 | Karen Khachanov ATP Beijing · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 01/10 | Tomas Machac ATP Beijing · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 29/09 | Marco Trungelliti ATP Beijing · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 28/09 | Vit Kopriva ATP Beijing · Hard |
2-1 | 16-18 | W |
| 20/09 | Stefanos Tsitsipas Davis Cup |
1-2 | 13-14 | L |
| 19/09 | Stefanos Sakellaridis Davis Cup |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 08/09 | Joao Lucas Reis da Silva Challenger Tulln · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 02/09 | Benjamin Bonzi US Open · Hard |
1-3 | 15-21 | L |
| 23/07 | Alexander Bublik ATP Kitzbuhel · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Hamad Medjedovic
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/10 | Brandon Nakashima ATP Lyon · Hard |
1-2 | 15-19 | L |
| 08/10 | Thiago Agustin Tirante ATP Shanghai · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 19/09 | Vilius Gaubas Davis Cup |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 30/08 | Kamil Majchrzak US Open · Hard |
0-3 | 9-18 | L |
| 14/08 | Marco Trungelliti ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 04/08 | Juan Manuel Cerundolo ATP Montreal · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 29/06 | Sebastian Ofner Wimbledon · Grass |
2-3 | 21-23 | L |
| 19/06 | Ugo Humbert ATP Queens · Grass |
1-2 | 18-16 | L |
| 16/06 | Arthur Rinderknech ATP Queens · Grass |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 27/05 | Casper Ruud French Open · Clay |
0-3 | 9-18 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Alex Molcan vs Hamad Medjedovic?
Our model gives 53% to Alex Molcan, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.