Tennis · ATP Vienna · 24/10, 18:00
Prediction: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Adrian Mannarino
Team pages: Thiago Agustin Tirante · Adrian Mannarino
Prediction summary
Winner
Thiago Agustin Tirante
Adrian Mannarino
Estimated games
24.1Bet365 line 24.5
Recent form · 10 last
Thiago Agustin Tirante
6-4 (W-L)
Adrian Mannarino
7-3 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Thiago Agustin Tirante
0–1
Adrian Mannarino
(1 last)
- 31 Aug2-3 21-25L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Thiago Agustin Tirante 1480 · Adrian Mannarino 1517
| Thiago Agustin Tirante | Adrian Mannarino | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 45% | 55% |
| Market | 44% | 56% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Thiago Agustin Tirante 0–1 Adrian Mannarino (1).
Statistics
| Thiago Agustin Tirante | Adrian Mannarino | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 44% (9) | 60% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-1.3 | 1.3-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.3-13.6 | 11.9-12.6 |
| Aces | 9.7 | 7 |
| Double faults | 3.6 | 0.8 |
| 1st serve % | 80.6% | 73.4% |
| Break % | 23.6% | 33.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
24.1 · Bet365 line 24.5
Over 24.5: 47% · 1.83
Under 24.5: 53% · 1.83
H2H · Thiago Agustin Tirante 0 – 1 Adrian Mannarino (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Thiago Agustin Tirante 0–1 Adrian Mannarino
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 31/08/26 US Open | 2-3 | 21-25 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Thiago Agustin Tirante
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/10 | Facundo Diaz Acosta ATP Almaty · Hard |
1-2 | 12-18 | L |
| 10/10 | Rafael Jodar ATP Shanghai · Hard |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 08/10 | Hamad Medjedovic ATP Shanghai · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 30/09 | Jan-Lennard Struff ATP Beijing · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 19/09 | Mert Alkaya Davis Cup |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 31/08 | Adrian Mannarino US Open · Hard |
2-3 | 21-25 | L |
| 21/08 | Arthur Fils ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 19/08 | Jakub Mensik ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 17/08 | Martin Landaluce ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 15/08 | Novak Djokovic ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
2-1 | 14-14 | W |
Adrian Mannarino
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/10 | Nikoloz Basilashvili ATP Almaty · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 21/10 | Andrey Rublev ATP Almaty · Hard |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 19/10 | Aleksandar Vukic ATP Almaty · Hard |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 11/10 | Karen Khachanov ATP Shanghai · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 09/10 | Flavio Cobolli ATP Shanghai · Hard |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
| 29/09 | Pablo Carreno Busta ATP Beijing · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 28/09 | Miomir Kecmanovic ATP Beijing · Hard |
2-1 | 17-18 | W |
| 27/09 | Denis Shapovalov ATP Chengdu · Hard |
1-2 | 12-18 | L |
| 25/09 | Alejandro Tabilo ATP Chengdu · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 24/09 | Juncheng Shang ATP Chengdu · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Adrian Mannarino?
Our model gives 56% to Adrian Mannarino, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.