Tennis · M15 Maceio · 23/10, 17:30
Prediction: Dante Pagani vs Pedro Sakamoto
Team pages: Dante Pagani · Pedro Sakamoto
Prediction summary
Winner
Dante Pagani
Pedro Sakamoto
Estimated games
21.9
Recent form · 10 last
Dante Pagani
2-8 (W-L)
Pedro Sakamoto
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Dante Pagani 1428 · Pedro Sakamoto 1571
| Dante Pagani | Pedro Sakamoto | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 31% | 69% |
| Market | 22% | 78% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Pedro Sakamoto (rating 1428 vs 1571).
- Pedro Sakamoto is in better form: 80% recent wins.
Statistics
| Dante Pagani | Pedro Sakamoto | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 80% |
| Win % · Clay | 13% (8) | 75% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.8-1.6 | 1.6-0.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.7-11.6 | 12.2-9.7 |
| Aces | 1.3 | 2.9 |
| Double faults | 2 | 1.1 |
| 1st serve % | 59.2% | 74.6% |
| Break % | 39.8% | 43.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.9
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Dante Pagani
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/10 | Giovanni Branchetti M15 Maceio |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
| 21/10 | Pedro Henrique Chabalgoity M15 Maceio |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 13/10 | Joao Eduardo Schiessl M15 Maringa · ~Clay |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 20/09 | Bruno Fernandez Challenger Buenos Aires · Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 05/05 | Herman Hoeyeraal M25 Villa Maria · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 30/04 | Lucio Ratti M25 Lujan · ~Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 29/04 | Valentin Garay M25 Lujan · ~Clay |
2-1 | 15-10 | W |
| 25/03 | Rocco Valente M15 Punta Del Este · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-11 | L |
| 17/02 | Lautaro Midon Challenger Tigre · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 02/02 | Santiago De La Fuente Challenger Rosario · Clay |
1-2 | 14-15 | L |
Pedro Sakamoto
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/10 | Bautista De La Pena M15 Maceio |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 21/10 | Valentin Basel M15 Maceio |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 18/10 | Joao Eduardo Schiessl M15 Maringa · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 17/10 | Hernando Jose Escurra Isnardi M15 Maringa · ~Clay |
2-1 | 18-11 | W |
| 16/10 | Nicolas Bruna M15 Maringa · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 15/10 | Pedro Dietrich M15 Maringa · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 14/10 | Joao Victor Couto Loureiro M15 Maringa · ~Clay |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 01/10 | Guido Ivan Justo Challenger Curitiba · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 30/09 | Eduardo Ribeiro Challenger Curitiba · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 28/09 | Santiago De La Fuente Challenger Curitiba · Clay |
2-1 | 15-14 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Dante Pagani vs Pedro Sakamoto?
Our model gives 74% to Pedro Sakamoto, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.