Tennis · M15 Maceio · 22/10, 15:00
Prediction: Bautista De La Pena vs Pedro Sakamoto
Team pages: Bautista De La Pena · Pedro Sakamoto
Prediction summary
Winner
Bautista De La Pena
Pedro Sakamoto
Estimated games
21.6
Recent form · 10 last
Bautista De La Pena
5-5 (W-L)
Pedro Sakamoto
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Bautista De La Pena 1480 · Pedro Sakamoto 1577
| Bautista De La Pena | Pedro Sakamoto | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 36% | 64% |
| Market | 9% | 91% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Pedro Sakamoto (rating 1480 vs 1577).
- Pedro Sakamoto is in better form: 80% recent wins.
Statistics
| Bautista De La Pena | Pedro Sakamoto | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 80% |
| Win % · Clay | 25% (4) | 78% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.9-1.2 | 1.6-0.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 8.7-10.1 | 12.1-9.7 |
| Aces | 1.6 | 2.7 |
| Double faults | 2.7 | 1.3 |
| 1st serve % | 61.3% | 74.2% |
| Break % | 31.8% | 42.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.6
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Bautista De La Pena
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/10 | Francisco Fontes Damorim M15 Maceio |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 19/10 | Pedro Dietrich M15 Maceio |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 18/10 | Luka Bojicic Ono M15 Maceio |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 04/10 | Mateus Alves Challenger Antofagasta · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 01/09 | Noah Schachter M15 Trelew |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 18/08 | Nathan Cox M15 Asuncion · ~Clay |
1-2 | 11-18 | L |
| 17/08 | Fantino Alberca De Las Casas M15 Asuncion · ~Clay |
2-1 | 12-9 | W |
| 10/08 | Jackson Pereira Xavier M15 Asuncion · ~Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 28/07 | Bastian Malla M15 Sao Paulo |
0-1 | 3-8 | L |
| 21/07 | Santiago Pesino M25 Sao Paulo |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
Pedro Sakamoto
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/10 | Valentin Basel M15 Maceio |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 18/10 | Joao Eduardo Schiessl M15 Maringa · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 17/10 | Hernando Jose Escurra Isnardi M15 Maringa · ~Clay |
2-1 | 18-11 | W |
| 16/10 | Nicolas Bruna M15 Maringa · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 15/10 | Pedro Dietrich M15 Maringa · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 14/10 | Joao Victor Couto Loureiro M15 Maringa · ~Clay |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 01/10 | Guido Ivan Justo Challenger Curitiba · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 30/09 | Eduardo Ribeiro Challenger Curitiba · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 28/09 | Santiago De La Fuente Challenger Curitiba · Clay |
2-1 | 15-14 | W |
| 27/09 | Joao Goncalves Challenger Curitiba · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Bautista De La Pena vs Pedro Sakamoto?
Our model gives 79% to Pedro Sakamoto, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.