Tennis · M15 Maceio · 23/10, 17:30
Prediction: Oscar Jose Gutierrez vs Lorenzo Gagliardo
Team pages: Oscar Jose Gutierrez · Lorenzo Gagliardo
Prediction summary
Winner
Oscar Jose Gutierrez
Lorenzo Gagliardo
Estimated games
20.5
Recent form · 10 last
Oscar Jose Gutierrez
4-6 (W-L)
Lorenzo Gagliardo
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Oscar Jose Gutierrez 1485 · Lorenzo Gagliardo 1572
| Oscar Jose Gutierrez | Lorenzo Gagliardo | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 38% | 62% |
| Market | 39% | 61% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Lorenzo Gagliardo (rating 1485 vs 1572).
- Lorenzo Gagliardo is in better form: 80% recent wins.
Statistics
| Oscar Jose Gutierrez | Lorenzo Gagliardo | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 80% |
| Win % · Clay | 38% (8) | 83% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.1 | 1.6-0.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 10-9.7 | 12-7.2 |
| Aces | 1.6 | 1.8 |
| Double faults | 3.7 | 0.5 |
| 1st serve % | 69.5% | 68% |
| Break % | 54.1% | 56.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.5
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Oscar Jose Gutierrez
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/10 | Rocco Valente M15 Maceio |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 20/10 | Denis Klok M15 Maceio |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 16/10 | Joao Eduardo Schiessl M15 Maringa · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 15/10 | Valentin Basel M15 Maringa · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 13/10 | Federico Gaston Gonzalez Benitez M15 Maringa · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 04/10 | Yanaki Milev Challenger Palermo · Clay |
1-2 | 9-16 | L |
| 29/09 | Pedro Rodenas M25 Zaragoza · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 24/09 | Ivan Gakhov M25 Sabadell · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 22/09 | Bernardo Munk Mesa M25 Sabadell · ~Clay |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
| 13/09 | Santiago Rodriguez Taverna Challenger Szczecin · Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
Lorenzo Gagliardo
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/10 | Ignacio Monzon M15 Maceio |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 20/10 | Bruno Rodrigues M15 Maceio |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 11/10 | Alejo Lorenzo Lingua Lavallen UTR Pro Cordoba · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 10/10 | Rocco Valente UTR Pro Cordoba · Clay |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 09/10 | Lautaro Rocha UTR Pro Cordoba · Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 08/10 | Dante Ezequiel Lopez UTR Pro Cordoba · Clay |
2-0 | 12-0 | W |
| 06/10 | Valentino De Pellegrin UTR Pro Cordoba · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 05/10 | Agustin Fernandez Badia UTR Pro Cordoba · Clay |
2-1 | 16-7 | W |
| 05/09 | Carlos Maria Zarate M15 Trelew |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 04/09 | Federico Aguilar Cardozo M15 Trelew |
2-0 | 13-5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Oscar Jose Gutierrez vs Lorenzo Gagliardo?
Our model gives 61% to Lorenzo Gagliardo, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.