Tennis · M15 Maceio · 22/10, 15:00
Prediction: Lorenzo Gagliardo vs Ignacio Monzon
Team pages: Lorenzo Gagliardo · Ignacio Monzon
Prediction summary
Winner
Lorenzo Gagliardo
Ignacio Monzon
Estimated games
22
Recent form · 10 last
Lorenzo Gagliardo
5-5 (W-L)
Ignacio Monzon
6-4 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Lorenzo Gagliardo
1–1
Ignacio Monzon
(2 last)
- 02 Nov0-2 9-13L
- 24 Nov2-0 13-9W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Lorenzo Gagliardo 1583 · Ignacio Monzon 1532
| Lorenzo Gagliardo | Ignacio Monzon | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 57% | 43% |
| Market | 61% | 39% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Lorenzo Gagliardo (rating 1583 vs 1532).
Statistics
| Lorenzo Gagliardo | Ignacio Monzon | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 70% |
| Win % · Clay | 83% (6) | 57% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-0.7 | 1.6-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.6-7.8 | 13.1-10.3 |
| Aces | 1.5 | 0.6 |
| Double faults | 0.8 | 1.7 |
| 1st serve % | 70% | 68% |
| Break % | 61.8% | 47.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22
H2H · Lorenzo Gagliardo 1 – 1 Ignacio Monzon (2)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Lorenzo Gagliardo 1–1 Ignacio Monzon
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 02/11/22 ITF M15 Santa Cruz | 0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 24/11/21 ITF M15 Cordoba | 2-0 | 13-9 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Lorenzo Gagliardo
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/10 | Bruno Rodrigues M15 Maceio |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 11/10 | Alejo Lorenzo Lingua Lavallen UTR Pro Cordoba · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 10/10 | Rocco Valente UTR Pro Cordoba · Clay |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 09/10 | Lautaro Rocha UTR Pro Cordoba · Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 08/10 | Dante Ezequiel Lopez UTR Pro Cordoba · Clay |
2-0 | 12-0 | W |
| 06/10 | Valentino De Pellegrin UTR Pro Cordoba · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 05/10 | Agustin Fernandez Badia UTR Pro Cordoba · Clay |
2-1 | 16-7 | W |
| 05/09 | Carlos Maria Zarate M15 Trelew |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 04/09 | Federico Aguilar Cardozo M15 Trelew |
2-0 | 13-5 | W |
| 03/09 | Ivan Dreycopp M15 Trelew |
2-1 | 18-12 | W |
Ignacio Monzon
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/10 | Gabriel Schenekenberg M15 Maceio |
2-1 | 20-18 | W |
| 13/10 | Rafael Tosetto M15 Maringa · ~Clay |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 24/09 | Jeremy Gschwendtner M15 Telavi · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 23/09 | Vano Losaberidze M15 Telavi · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 18/09 | Dmitry Bessonov M15 Tsaghkadzor · ~Clay |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 15/09 | Niels Peter Van Noord M15 Tsaghkadzor · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 13/09 | Dmitry Popko M15 Tsaghkadzor · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 12/09 | Corentin Denolly M15 Tsaghkadzor · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 11/09 | Egor Pleshivtsev M15 Tsaghkadzor · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 10/09 | Daniel Khazime M15 Tsaghkadzor · ~Clay |
2-1 | 14-14 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Lorenzo Gagliardo vs Ignacio Monzon?
Our model gives 59% to Lorenzo Gagliardo, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.