Tennis · UTR Pro Newport Beach · 25/10, 18:00
Prediction: Karl Kazuma Lee vs Adam Chodur
Team pages: Karl Kazuma Lee · Adam Chodur
Prediction summary
Winner
Karl Kazuma Lee
Adam Chodur
Estimated games
21.5
Recent form · 10 last
Karl Kazuma Lee
4-6 (W-L)
Adam Chodur
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Karl Kazuma Lee 1568 · Adam Chodur 1506
| Karl Kazuma Lee | Adam Chodur | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 59% | 41% |
| Market | 87% | 13% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Karl Kazuma Lee (rating 1568 vs 1506).
Statistics
| Karl Kazuma Lee | Adam Chodur | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 75% (8) | 50% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-1 | 1.2-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.7-10.7 | 11.1-10.2 |
| Aces | 4.1 | 2 |
| Double faults | 2.4 | 1.7 |
| 1st serve % | 63.8% | 62.4% |
| Break % | 53.1% | 45.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.5
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Karl Kazuma Lee
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/10 | Theodore Dean UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-1 | 13-12 | W |
| 23/10 | Corey Craig UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-1 | 13-8 | W |
| 21/10 | Kosuke Nakanishi UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-1 | 14-10 | W |
| 20/10 | Pol Masafret Hernandez UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 19/10 | Siddharth Bharadwaj UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-1 | 14-12 | W |
| 18/10 | Zach Stephens UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 17/10 | Theodore Dean UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 16/10 | Nile Ung UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 09/07 | Jack Anthrop M15 Rancho Santa Fe |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
| 08/07 | Stefan Cooper M15 Rancho Santa Fe |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
Adam Chodur
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/10 | Carter Craig UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 20/10 | Lachlan Brain UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 20/10 | Liam Spiers UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 18/10 | Jason Huang UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 17/10 | Lucas Hammond UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 16/10 | Mason Tran UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 14/10 | Zach Stephens UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 13/10 | Jason Huang UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 12/10 | Lawee Sherif UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 02/10 | Jan Kobierski UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
1-2 | 10-15 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Karl Kazuma Lee vs Adam Chodur?
Our model gives 74% to Karl Kazuma Lee, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.