Tennis · UTR Pro Newport Beach · 22/10, 20:00
Prediction: Derrick Chen vs Luca Ostovany
Team pages: Luca Ostovany
Prediction summary
Winner
Derrick Chen
Luca Ostovany
Estimated games
20.8
Recent form · 10 last
Derrick Chen
5-5 (W-L)
Luca Ostovany
8-2 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Derrick Chen 1531 · Luca Ostovany 1466
| Derrick Chen | Luca Ostovany | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 59% | 41% |
| Market | 88% | 12% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Derrick Chen (rating 1531 vs 1466).
- Note: Derrick Chen makes many double faults (4.3/match).
Statistics
| Derrick Chen | Luca Ostovany | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 60% (10) | 40% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-0.9 | 1.2-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.3-8.3 | 11.3-11.6 |
| Aces | 4.9 | 0.7 |
| Double faults | 4.3 | 2.2 |
| 1st serve % | 64.9% | 60.3% |
| Break % | 45.8% | 47.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.8
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Derrick Chen
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/10 | Ryan Bedwick UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 20/10 | Adriano Dzhenev UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 19/10 | Ilias Bouzoubaa UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 09/01 | Noble Renfrow UTR Pro Athens · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 07/01 | Rahul Sachdev UTR Pro Athens · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 05/01 | Luka Butera UTR Pro Athens · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 04/01 | Lincoln Battle UTR Pro Athens · Hard |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 19/12 | Guillaume Dalmasso UTR Pro Honolulu · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 16/12 | Illya Maksymchuk UTR Pro Honolulu · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 15/12 | Georgio Samaha UTR Pro Honolulu · Hard |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
Luca Ostovany
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/10 | David Knesl UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 21/10 | Oskar Grzegorzewski UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
1-2 | 19-20 | L |
| 20/10 | Noah Folkesson Doudy UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 02/10 | Xavier Calvelo UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 29/09 | Adam Chodur UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
1-2 | 12-18 | L |
| 29/09 | Jan Kobierski UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 19/09 | Matei Gavrea UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 19/09 | Bautista Durrels Rojo UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 17/09 | Siddharth Bharadwaj UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 16/09 | Pablo Robledo Hoyos UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Derrick Chen vs Luca Ostovany?
Our model gives 75% to Derrick Chen, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.