Tennis · M25 Sarreguemines · 22/10, 13:00
Prediction: Adan Freire Da Silva vs Thijs Boogaard
Team pages: Adan Freire Da Silva · Thijs Boogaard
Prediction summary
Winner
Adan Freire Da Silva
Thijs Boogaard
Estimated games
21.6
Recent form · 10 last
Adan Freire Da Silva
5-5 (W-L)
Thijs Boogaard
3-7 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Adan Freire Da Silva 1493 · Thijs Boogaard 1467
| Adan Freire Da Silva | Thijs Boogaard | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 54% | 46% |
| Market | 22% | 78% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Adan Freire Da Silva | Thijs Boogaard | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 0% (2) | 25% (4) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.2 | 0.9-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.9-11 | 10.6-11.6 |
| Aces | 4.8 | 3.9 |
| Double faults | 2.9 | 3.5 |
| 1st serve % | 71.8% | 68.5% |
| Break % | 41.8% | 51% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.6
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Adan Freire Da Silva
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/10 | Hugo Pierre M25 Sarreguemines |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 19/10 | Nicola Senn M25 Sarreguemines |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 18/10 | Hanu Patel M25 Sarreguemines |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 13/10 | Leo Borg M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 07/10 | Kris Van Wyk M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 22/09 | Theo Herrmann M15 Forbach |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 15/09 | Thomas Faurel M25 Nevers |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 10/09 | Nikola Slavic M25 Plaisir |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 09/09 | Daniel De Jonge M25 Plaisir |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 02/09 | Matisse Bobichon M25 Bagneres-de-Bigorre |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
Thijs Boogaard
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/10 | Matteo Martineau M25 Sarreguemines |
2-1 | 14-15 | W |
| 12/10 | Henry Bernet Challenger Roanne · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 11/10 | Timeo Trufelli Challenger Roanne · Hard |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 04/10 | Philip Henning Challenger Villena · Hard |
1-2 | 12-18 | L |
| 27/09 | Alberto Barroso Campos Challenger Mouilleron le Captif · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 23/09 | Lucas Renard M25 Falun |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 22/09 | Love Nyqvist M25 Falun |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 09/09 | Sergey Petrov M15 Hurghada · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 04/09 | Conor Gannon M15 Hurghada · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 03/09 | Zian Vanderstappen M15 Hurghada · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Adan Freire Da Silva vs Thijs Boogaard?
Our model gives 64% to Thijs Boogaard, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.