Tennis · M25 Sarreguemines · 23/10, 13:00
Prediction: Adrien Gobat vs Daniel Masur
Team pages: Adrien Gobat · Daniel Masur
Prediction summary
Winner
Adrien Gobat
Daniel Masur
Estimated games
23.2
Recent form · 10 last
Adrien Gobat
8-2 (W-L)
Daniel Masur
8-2 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Adrien Gobat
0–1
Daniel Masur
(1 last)
- 13 Sept0-2 8-12L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Adrien Gobat 1617 · Daniel Masur 1555
| Adrien Gobat | Daniel Masur | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 59% | 41% |
| Market | 25% | 75% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Adrien Gobat (rating 1617 vs 1555).
- Adrien Gobat dominates on serve: 7.3 aces and 56.4% break avg.
- Daniel Masur dominates on serve: 7.4 aces and 42.9% break avg.
- Head-to-head: Adrien Gobat 0–1 Daniel Masur (1).
Statistics
| Adrien Gobat | Daniel Masur | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 90% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 0% (1) | 63% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.8-0.6 | 1.5-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 14-10.8 | 13.5-11.1 |
| Aces | 7.3 | 7.4 |
| Double faults | 3.1 | 2.3 |
| 1st serve % | 76.2% | 74.6% |
| Break % | 56.4% | 42.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.2
H2H · Adrien Gobat 0 – 1 Daniel Masur (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Adrien Gobat 0–1 Daniel Masur
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13/09/26 Challenger Rennes | 0-2 | 8-12 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Adrien Gobat
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/10 | Mae Malige M25 Sarreguemines |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 20/10 | Robert Strombachs M25 Sarreguemines |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 19/10 | Martin Riu M25 Sarreguemines |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 18/10 | Romain Andres M25 Sarreguemines |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 11/10 | Jelle Sels M15 Rodez |
2-1 | 18-17 | W |
| 10/10 | Axel Garcian M15 Rodez |
2-1 | 19-15 | W |
| 09/10 | Daniel Jade M15 Rodez |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 08/10 | Timeo Trufelli M15 Rodez |
2-1 | 17-16 | W |
| 06/10 | Calvin Mueller M15 Rodez |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 13/09 | Daniel Masur Challenger Rennes · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
Daniel Masur
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/10 | Yanis Ghazouani Durand M25 Sarreguemines |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 21/10 | Mickael Kaouk M25 Sarreguemines |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 12/10 | Georgii Kravchenko Challenger Olbia · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 11/10 | Sebastian Dominko Challenger Olbia · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 25/09 | Murphy Cassone Challenger Saint-Tropez · Hard |
1-2 | 17-19 | L |
| 24/09 | Matteo Martineau Challenger Saint-Tropez · Hard |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
| 22/09 | Moez Echargui Challenger Saint-Tropez · Hard |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 21/09 | Maxime Janvier Challenger Saint-Tropez · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 20/09 | Leonardo Rossi Challenger Saint-Tropez · Hard |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 15/09 | Borna Gojo Challenger Rennes · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Adrien Gobat vs Daniel Masur?
Our model gives 60% to Daniel Masur, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.