Tennis · M25 Sarreguemines · 24/10, 15:00
Prediction: Philip Henning vs Adrien Gobat
Team pages: Philip Henning · Adrien Gobat
Prediction summary
Winner
Philip Henning
Adrien Gobat
Estimated games
22.2
Recent form · 10 last
Philip Henning
6-4 (W-L)
Adrien Gobat
9-1 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Philip Henning 1513 · Adrien Gobat 1640
| Philip Henning | Adrien Gobat | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 32% | 68% |
| Market | 66% | 34% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Adrien Gobat (rating 1513 vs 1640).
- Adrien Gobat dominates on serve: 7.4 aces and 61.4% break avg.
- Adrien Gobat is in better form: 100% recent wins.
Statistics
| Philip Henning | Adrien Gobat | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 100% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (6) | – |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-0.9 | 2-0.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.4-9.3 | 14.5-10.6 |
| Aces | 3.3 | 7.4 |
| Double faults | 0.9 | 3 |
| 1st serve % | 68.5% | 76.4% |
| Break % | 32.2% | 61.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.2
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Philip Henning
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/10 | Louis Wessels M25 Sarreguemines |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 22/10 | Antoine Walch M25 Sarreguemines |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 21/10 | Robin Catry M25 Sarreguemines |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 14/10 | Dominic Stephan Stricker Challenger Roanne · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 08/10 | Borna Gojo Challenger Villena · Hard |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 07/10 | Maks Kasnikowski Challenger Villena · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 05/10 | Ivan Marrero Curbelo Challenger Villena · Hard |
2-0 | 13-5 | W |
| 04/10 | Thijs Boogaard Challenger Villena · Hard |
2-1 | 18-12 | W |
| 30/09 | Tristan Schoolkate Challenger Mouilleron le Captif · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 26/09 | Alec Deckers M25 Setubal |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
Adrien Gobat
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/10 | Daniel Masur M25 Sarreguemines |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 22/10 | Mae Malige M25 Sarreguemines |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 20/10 | Robert Strombachs M25 Sarreguemines |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 19/10 | Martin Riu M25 Sarreguemines |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 18/10 | Romain Andres M25 Sarreguemines |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 11/10 | Jelle Sels M15 Rodez |
2-1 | 18-17 | W |
| 10/10 | Axel Garcian M15 Rodez |
2-1 | 19-15 | W |
| 09/10 | Daniel Jade M15 Rodez |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 08/10 | Timeo Trufelli M15 Rodez |
2-1 | 17-16 | W |
| 06/10 | Calvin Mueller M15 Rodez |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Philip Henning vs Adrien Gobat?
Our model gives 51% to Philip Henning, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.