Tennis · Challenger Lisbon · 21/10, 17:00
Prediction: Marco Trungelliti vs Carlo Alberto Caniato
Team pages: Marco Trungelliti · Carlo Alberto Caniato
Prediction summary
Winner
Marco Trungelliti
Carlo Alberto Caniato
Estimated games
23.4
Recent form · 10 last
Marco Trungelliti
5-5 (W-L)
Carlo Alberto Caniato
8-2 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Marco Trungelliti 1546 · Carlo Alberto Caniato 1567
| Marco Trungelliti | Carlo Alberto Caniato | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 47% | 53% |
| Market | 65% | 35% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Marco Trungelliti | Carlo Alberto Caniato | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 70% |
| Win % · Clay | 71% (7) | 70% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-1.2 | 1.6-0.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 14.4-12.4 | 12.6-9.4 |
| Aces | 4.1 | 5 |
| Double faults | 2.9 | 1.8 |
| 1st serve % | 72.6% | 79% |
| Break % | 58.3% | 51.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.4
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Marco Trungelliti
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/10 | Tiago Pereira Challenger Lisbon · Clay |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
| 16/10 | Francesco Passaro Challenger Maia · Clay |
1-2 | 17-16 | L |
| 15/10 | Milos Karol Challenger Maia · Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 13/10 | Thiago Monteiro Challenger Maia · Clay |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 07/10 | Rei Sakamoto ATP Shanghai · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 29/09 | Alex Molcan ATP Beijing · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 28/09 | Martin Landaluce ATP Beijing · Hard |
2-1 | 19-14 | W |
| 19/09 | Thiago Monteiro Challenger Szczecin · Clay |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 18/09 | Marco Cecchinato Challenger Szczecin · Clay |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 17/09 | Filip Pieczonka Challenger Szczecin · Clay |
2-1 | 19-16 | W |
Carlo Alberto Caniato
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/10 | Diogo Morais Challenger Lisbon · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 15/10 | Marvin Moeller Challenger Catania · Clay |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 13/10 | Daniel Siniakov Challenger Catania · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 08/10 | Francesco Passaro Challenger Palermo · Clay |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 06/10 | Max Wiskandt Challenger Palermo · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 27/09 | Luka Mikrut Challenger Genoa · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 26/09 | Francesco Forti Challenger Genoa · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 24/09 | Tom Gentzsch Challenger Genoa · Clay |
2-1 | 18-15 | W |
| 22/09 | Lorenzo Berto Challenger Genoa · Clay |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 20/09 | Alejandro Moro Canas Challenger Biella · Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Marco Trungelliti vs Carlo Alberto Caniato?
Our model gives 57% to Marco Trungelliti, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.