Tennis · M25 Sarreguemines · 22/10, 09:00
Prediction: Adrien Gobat vs Mae Malige
Team pages: Adrien Gobat · Mae Malige
Prediction summary
Winner
Adrien Gobat
Mae Malige
Estimated games
22.7
Recent form · 10 last
Adrien Gobat
9-1 (W-L)
Mae Malige
3-7 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Adrien Gobat 1604 · Mae Malige 1468
| Adrien Gobat | Mae Malige | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 69% | 31% |
| Market | 63% | 38% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Adrien Gobat (rating 1604 vs 1468).
- Adrien Gobat dominates on serve: 7.2 aces and 52.4% break avg.
- Adrien Gobat is in better form: 80% recent wins.
- Note: Mae Malige makes many double faults (4.4/match).
Statistics
| Adrien Gobat | Mae Malige | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 0% (1) | 33% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.7-0.7 | 0.9-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.6-11 | 10.5-12.1 |
| Aces | 7.2 | 1.4 |
| Double faults | 3.9 | 4.4 |
| 1st serve % | 76% | 61.6% |
| Break % | 52.4% | 44.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.7
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Adrien Gobat
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/10 | Robert Strombachs M25 Sarreguemines |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 19/10 | Martin Riu M25 Sarreguemines |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 18/10 | Romain Andres M25 Sarreguemines |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 11/10 | Jelle Sels M15 Rodez |
2-1 | 18-17 | W |
| 10/10 | Axel Garcian M15 Rodez |
2-1 | 19-15 | W |
| 09/10 | Daniel Jade M15 Rodez |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 08/10 | Timeo Trufelli M15 Rodez |
2-1 | 17-16 | W |
| 06/10 | Calvin Mueller M15 Rodez |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 13/09 | Daniel Masur Challenger Rennes · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 09/09 | Nicolas Ifi M25 Plaisir |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
Mae Malige
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/10 | Guillaume Dalmasso M25 Sarreguemines |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 08/10 | Loann Massard M15 Rodez |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 06/10 | Pierre Antoine Tailleu M15 Rodez |
2-1 | 18-15 | W |
| 29/09 | Melih Anavatan M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 10-14 | L |
| 24/09 | Ewen Lumsden M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 23/09 | Jacopo Bilardo M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 08/09 | Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg Challenger Cassis · Hard |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 01/09 | Alexandre Reco M25 Bagneres-de-Bigorre |
0-2 | 10-14 | L |
| 27/08 | Roan Jones M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 26/08 | Romain Andres M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Adrien Gobat vs Mae Malige?
Our model gives 65% to Adrien Gobat, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.