Tennis · W35 Santa Margherita · 21/10, 10:00
Prediction: Despina Papamichail vs Matilde Mariani
Team pages: Despina Papamichail · Matilde Mariani
Prediction summary
Winner
Despina Papamichail
Matilde Mariani
Estimated games
21.4
Recent form · 10 last
Despina Papamichail
5-5 (W-L)
Matilde Mariani
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Despina Papamichail 1469 · Matilde Mariani 1516
| Despina Papamichail | Matilde Mariani | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 43% | 57% |
| Market | 86% | 14% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Matilde Mariani (rating 1469 vs 1516).
- Note: Matilde Mariani makes many double faults (5.2/match).
Statistics
| Despina Papamichail | Matilde Mariani | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 43% (7) | 50% (2) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.4 | 1.2-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.6-12 | 9.7-9.3 |
| Aces | 0.3 | 0.9 |
| Double faults | 1.8 | 5.2 |
| 1st serve % | 52.8% | 59.7% |
| Break % | 54.7% | 53% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.4
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Despina Papamichail
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/10 | Tamara Zidansek WTA Mallorca · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 08/10 | Jessica Bertoldo W50 Heraklion · ~Hard |
1-2 | 15-18 | L |
| 07/10 | Simona Ogescu W50 Heraklion · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 21/09 | Guiomar Maristany Zuleta De Reales WTA Tolentino · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 18/09 | Yasmine Kabbaj WTA Valencia · Clay |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 16/09 | Jennifer Ruggeri WTA Valencia · Clay |
2-1 | 19-13 | W |
| 14/09 | Nuria Brancaccio WTA Valencia · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 10/09 | Simona Waltert WTA Montreux · Clay |
1-2 | 10-14 | L |
| 07/09 | Anastasia Zolotareva WTA Montreux · Clay |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
| 26/08 | Ekaterine Gorgodze US Open Women · Hard |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
Matilde Mariani
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/10 | Maria Toma W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-1 | 12-10 | W |
| 14/10 | Chiara Fornasieri W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 01/10 | Polina Berezina W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 10-14 | L |
| 30/09 | Mariia Lazarenko W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 20/09 | Yekaterina Dmitrichenko W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 19/09 | Lan Mi W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 18/09 | Miroslava Medvedeva W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 17/09 | Maria Oliver Sanchez W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 11-3 | W |
| 16/09 | Mariia Masiianskaia W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 25/08 | Aran Teixido Garcia W35 Trieste |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Despina Papamichail vs Matilde Mariani?
Our model gives 67% to Despina Papamichail, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.