Tennis · W35 Santa Margherita · 22/10, 11:30
Prediction: Jennifer Ruggeri vs Carla Giambelli
Team pages: Jennifer Ruggeri · Carla Giambelli
Prediction summary
Winner
Jennifer Ruggeri
Carla Giambelli
Estimated games
22.4
Recent form · 10 last
Jennifer Ruggeri
5-5 (W-L)
Carla Giambelli
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Jennifer Ruggeri 1477 · Carla Giambelli 1493
| Jennifer Ruggeri | Carla Giambelli | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 48% | 52% |
| Market | 89% | 11% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Jennifer Ruggeri makes many double faults (7.8/match).
Statistics
| Jennifer Ruggeri | Carla Giambelli | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 33% (6) | 40% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1.5 | 1-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 14.1-13.2 | 8.6-9.1 |
| Aces | 1 | 0.8 |
| Double faults | 7.8 | 3.4 |
| 1st serve % | 59% | 52.8% |
| Break % | 58% | 55.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.4
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Jennifer Ruggeri
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/10 | Lavinia Luciano W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-1 | 17-11 | W |
| 12/10 | Elizara Yaneva WTA Mallorca · Clay |
1-2 | 13-14 | L |
| 09/10 | Nuria Brancaccio W50 Heraklion · ~Hard |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 08/10 | Raluca Georgiana Serban W50 Heraklion · ~Hard |
2-1 | 19-12 | W |
| 07/10 | Ani Amiraghyan W50 Heraklion · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 22/09 | Julia Grabher WTA Tolentino · Clay |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 16/09 | Despina Papamichail WTA Valencia · Clay |
1-2 | 13-19 | L |
| 15/09 | Eva Vedder WTA Valencia · Clay |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
| 08/09 | Martina Trevisan WTA Montreux · Clay |
1-2 | 15-13 | L |
| 26/08 | Sofia Costoulas US Open Women · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
Carla Giambelli
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/10 | Paula Ormaechea W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 13/10 | Nellie Taraba Wallberg W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 08/10 | Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 07/10 | Agnese Gentili W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 23/09 | Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 11/09 | Eva Marie Voracek W15 Viserba Di Rimini |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 09/09 | Charlotte Pikkaart W15 Viserba Di Rimini |
2-1 | 13-11 | W |
| 03/09 | Carolina Gasparini W15 Fiano Romano |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 01/09 | Elza Tomase W15 Fiano Romano |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 31/08 | Alessia Antici W15 Fiano Romano |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Jennifer Ruggeri vs Carla Giambelli?
Our model gives 70% to Jennifer Ruggeri, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.