Tennis · W35 Santa Margherita · 24/10, 10:00
Prediction: Alessandra Mazzola vs Jennifer Ruggeri
Team pages: Alessandra Mazzola · Jennifer Ruggeri
Prediction summary
Winner
Alessandra Mazzola
Jennifer Ruggeri
Estimated games
23.2
Recent form · 10 last
Alessandra Mazzola
8-2 (W-L)
Jennifer Ruggeri
7-3 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Alessandra Mazzola
0–1
Jennifer Ruggeri
(1 last)
- 16 Jul0-2 4-12L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Alessandra Mazzola 1569 · Jennifer Ruggeri 1530
| Alessandra Mazzola | Jennifer Ruggeri | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 56% | 44% |
| Market | 35% | 65% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Alessandra Mazzola 0–1 Jennifer Ruggeri (1).
- Note: Jennifer Ruggeri makes many double faults (6.8/match).
Statistics
| Alessandra Mazzola | Jennifer Ruggeri | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 78% (9) | 57% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-0.8 | 1.6-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 11-10.5 | 14.1-11.7 |
| Aces | 0 | 0.7 |
| Double faults | 2.4 | 6.8 |
| 1st serve % | 53.3% | 60% |
| Break % | 61.8% | 62.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.2
H2H · Alessandra Mazzola 0 – 1 Jennifer Ruggeri (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Alessandra Mazzola 0–1 Jennifer Ruggeri
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16/07/25 W35 Torino | 0-2 | 4-12 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Alessandra Mazzola
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/10 | Despina Papamichail W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 22/10 | Matilde Paoletti W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 20/10 | Lucie Nguyen Tan W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 15/10 | Angelica Raggi W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
1-2 | 11-13 | L |
| 14/10 | Laima Vladson W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 10/10 | Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 09/10 | Matilde Paoletti W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-1 | 14-16 | W |
| 08/10 | Beatrise Zeltina W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-1 | 14-12 | W |
| 07/10 | Sofia Shapatava W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 11-9 | W |
| 25/09 | Loes Ebeling Koning W50 Plovdiv |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
Jennifer Ruggeri
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/10 | Lucia Cortez Llorca W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 22/10 | Carla Giambelli W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 20/10 | Lavinia Luciano W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-1 | 17-11 | W |
| 12/10 | Elizara Yaneva WTA Mallorca · Clay |
1-2 | 13-14 | L |
| 09/10 | Nuria Brancaccio W50 Heraklion · ~Hard |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 08/10 | Raluca Georgiana Serban W50 Heraklion · ~Hard |
2-1 | 19-12 | W |
| 07/10 | Ani Amiraghyan W50 Heraklion · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 22/09 | Julia Grabher WTA Tolentino · Clay |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 16/09 | Despina Papamichail WTA Valencia · Clay |
1-2 | 13-19 | L |
| 15/09 | Eva Vedder WTA Valencia · Clay |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Alessandra Mazzola vs Jennifer Ruggeri?
Our model gives 55% to Jennifer Ruggeri, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.