Tennis · W35 Santa Margherita · 22/10, 11:30
Prediction: Lucia Cortez Llorca vs Carlota Martinez Cirez
Team pages: Lucia Cortez Llorca · Carlota Martinez Cirez
Prediction summary
Winner
Lucia Cortez Llorca
Carlota Martinez Cirez
Estimated games
20.5
Recent form · 10 last
Lucia Cortez Llorca
6-4 (W-L)
Carlota Martinez Cirez
4-6 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Lucia Cortez Llorca
1–1
Carlota Martinez Cirez
(2 last)
- 05 Oct1-2 16-19L
- 13 Nov2-0 12-4W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Lucia Cortez Llorca 1538 · Carlota Martinez Cirez 1480
| Lucia Cortez Llorca | Carlota Martinez Cirez | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 58% | 42% |
| Market | 71% | 29% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Lucia Cortez Llorca (rating 1538 vs 1480).
- Note: Lucia Cortez Llorca makes many double faults (7.3/match).
Statistics
| Lucia Cortez Llorca | Carlota Martinez Cirez | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 40% |
| Win % · Clay | 67% (6) | 43% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-0.9 | 0.8-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.7-9.1 | 8.5-9.8 |
| Aces | 1 | 0.3 |
| Double faults | 7.3 | 3.7 |
| 1st serve % | 59.4% | 57.2% |
| Break % | 61.5% | 53.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.5
H2H · Lucia Cortez Llorca 1 – 1 Carlota Martinez Cirez (2)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Lucia Cortez Llorca 1–1 Carlota Martinez Cirez
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 05/10/23 ITF W40 Lisbon | 1-2 | 16-19 | L |
| 13/11/16 ITF Women Benicarlo | 2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Lucia Cortez Llorca
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/10 | Tena Lukas W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 14/10 | Ariana Geerlings WTA Mallorca · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 13/10 | Ekaterine Gorgodze WTA Mallorca · Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 08/10 | Caijsa Wilda Hennemann W35 Seville |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 07/10 | Angelica Sara W35 Seville |
2-0 | 11-2 | W |
| 06/10 | Meritxell Teixido Garcia W35 Seville |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 23/09 | Kira Pavlova W50 Yecla |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 15/09 | Alicia Herrero Linana WTA Valencia · Clay |
1-2 | 16-16 | L |
| 13/09 | Ariana Geerlings W35 Reus · ~Clay |
2-1 | 18-12 | W |
| 12/09 | Marianne Argyrokastriti W35 Reus · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
Carlota Martinez Cirez
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/10 | Bianca Jolie Fernandez W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 15/10 | Lucie Petruzelova W50 Stara Zagora |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 07/10 | Ruth Roura Llaverias W35 Seville |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 06/10 | Ainara Fernandez Sanchez W35 Seville |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 23/09 | Camilla Gennaro W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 14/09 | Andrea Lazaro Garcia WTA Valencia · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 11/09 | Francesca Pace W35 Reus · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 10/09 | Ruth Roura Llaverias W35 Reus · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 09/09 | Min Liu W35 Reus · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 03/09 | Anastasija Cvetkovic W35 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Lucia Cortez Llorca vs Carlota Martinez Cirez?
Our model gives 65% to Lucia Cortez Llorca, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.