Tennis · M25 Tamworth · 21/10, 02:00
Prediction: Nick Beamish vs Casey Hoole
Team pages: Nick Beamish · Casey Hoole
Prediction summary
Winner
Nick Beamish
Casey Hoole
Estimated games
22.7
Recent form · 10 last
Nick Beamish
6-4 (W-L)
Casey Hoole
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Nick Beamish 1515 · Casey Hoole 1654
| Nick Beamish | Casey Hoole | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 31% | 69% |
| Market | 9% | 91% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Casey Hoole (rating 1515 vs 1654).
- Casey Hoole dominates on serve: 10.9 aces and 42.7% break avg.
- Casey Hoole is in better form: 100% recent wins.
Statistics
| Nick Beamish | Casey Hoole | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 100% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (2) | – |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.1 | 2-0.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.4-10 | 15.3-11.4 |
| Aces | 0.7 | 10.9 |
| Double faults | 1 | 1.1 |
| 1st serve % | 61.1% | 77.1% |
| Break % | 42.2% | 42.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.7
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Nick Beamish
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/10 | Cody Atkinson M25 Tamworth |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 30/09 | James Van Herzeele M15 Luan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 29/09 | Yue Xia M15 Luan · ~Hard |
2-1 | 12-10 | W |
| 24/09 | Mukund Sasikumar M25 Yinchuan |
0-2 | 10-14 | L |
| 23/09 | Kazuki Nakajima M25 Yinchuan |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 22/09 | Xiuyuan Ye M25 Yinchuan |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 16/09 | Robin Catry M25 Guiyang |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 15/09 | Hua-Yu Wei M25 Guiyang |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 07/09 | Azuma Visaya M15 Bali |
1-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 02/09 | Ryotaro Taguchi M15 Bali |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
Casey Hoole
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/10 | Stefan Vujic M25 Darwin |
2-1 | 18-12 | W |
| 10/10 | Zane Stevens M25 Darwin |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 09/10 | Moerani Bouzige M25 Darwin |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
| 08/10 | Tai Leonard Sach M25 Darwin |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 07/10 | Jack Bruce-Smith M25 Darwin |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 04/10 | Hayden Jones M25 Darwin |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 03/10 | Herman Hoeyeraal M25 Darwin |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 02/10 | Colin Sinclair M25 Darwin |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 01/10 | Mustafa Ege Sik M25 Darwin |
2-1 | 17-16 | W |
| 29/09 | Moerani Bouzige M25 Darwin |
2-1 | 18-15 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Nick Beamish vs Casey Hoole?
Our model gives 81% to Casey Hoole, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.