Tennis · M25 Tamworth · 30/10, 00:00
Prediction: Jeremy Beale vs Sam Ryan Ziegann
Team pages: Jeremy Beale · Sam Ryan Ziegann
Prediction summary
Winner
Jeremy Beale
Sam Ryan Ziegann
Estimated games
21.7
Recent form · 10 last
Jeremy Beale
7-3 (W-L)
Sam Ryan Ziegann
4-6 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Jeremy Beale
2–0
Sam Ryan Ziegann
(2 last)
- 19 Aug2-0 13-9W
- 11 Aug2-0 12-6W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Jeremy Beale 1566 · Sam Ryan Ziegann 1542
| Jeremy Beale | Sam Ryan Ziegann | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 53% | 47% |
| Market | 66% | 34% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Jeremy Beale dominates on serve: 6.3 aces and 51.4% break avg.
- Sam Ryan Ziegann dominates on serve: 6.3 aces and 47.1% break avg.
- Head-to-head: Jeremy Beale 2–0 Sam Ryan Ziegann (2).
Statistics
| Jeremy Beale | Sam Ryan Ziegann | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (2) | 50% (2) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.7-0.7 | 1.3-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 12-9.8 | 11.6-10.6 |
| Aces | 6.3 | 6.3 |
| Double faults | 2.7 | 2.4 |
| 1st serve % | 72.1% | 70.4% |
| Break % | 51.4% | 47.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.7
H2H · Jeremy Beale 2 – 0 Sam Ryan Ziegann (2)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Jeremy Beale 2–0 Sam Ryan Ziegann
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19/08/23 UTR Pro Carrara | 2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 11/08/23 UTR Pro Carrara | 2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Jeremy Beale
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/10 | Enzo Aguiard M25 Tamworth |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 28/10 | Derek Pham M25 Tamworth |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 27/10 | Jerome Estephan M25 Tamworth |
2-0 | 11-6 | W |
| 21/10 | Enzo Aguiard M25 Tamworth |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 20/10 | Luca Connaughton M25 Tamworth |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 01/10 | Derek Pham M25 Darwin |
1-2 | 8-16 | L |
| 30/09 | Tai Leonard Sach M25 Darwin |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 29/09 | David Qariaqus M25 Darwin |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 15/09 | Arjun Mehrotra UTR Pro Sydney · Hard |
1-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 14/09 | Haruto Ishikawa UTR Pro Sydney · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Sam Ryan Ziegann
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/10 | Chase Ferguson M25 Tamworth |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 28/10 | Chen Dong M25 Tamworth |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 22/10 | Enzo Aguiard M25 Tamworth |
1-2 | 19-20 | L |
| 21/10 | Harrison Satara M25 Tamworth |
2-1 | 14-12 | W |
| 09/10 | Philip Sekulic M25 Darwin |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 08/10 | Joshua Charlton M25 Darwin |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 07/10 | Luca Connaughton M25 Darwin |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 30/09 | Jake Delaney M25 Darwin |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 14/09 | Filip Peliwo Challenger Phan Thiet · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 13/09 | Thantub Suksumrarn Challenger Phan Thiet Qual · Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Jeremy Beale vs Sam Ryan Ziegann?
Our model gives 60% to Jeremy Beale, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.