Tennis · M25 Tamworth · 31/10, 00:00
Prediction: Blake Ellis vs Philip Sekulic
Team pages: Blake Ellis · Philip Sekulic
Prediction summary
Winner
Blake Ellis
Philip Sekulic
Estimated games
22.8
Recent form · 10 last
Blake Ellis
7-3 (W-L)
Philip Sekulic
8-2 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Blake Ellis
2–2
Philip Sekulic
(4 last)
- 01 Jul2-1 20-17W
- 30 Jan0-2 7-12L
- 24 Oct0-2 8-13L
- 18 Aug2-1 13-11W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Blake Ellis 1603 · Philip Sekulic 1576
| Blake Ellis | Philip Sekulic | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 54% | 46% |
| Market | 42% | 58% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Blake Ellis dominates on serve: 8.1 aces and 46.8% break avg.
Statistics
| Blake Ellis | Philip Sekulic | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 80% |
| Win % · Hard | 0% (1) | – |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-0.6 | 1.6-0.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.1-10.6 | 12.3-8.7 |
| Aces | 8.1 | 3.6 |
| Double faults | 1 | 3.1 |
| 1st serve % | 75.3% | 75.1% |
| Break % | 46.8% | 28.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.8
H2H · Blake Ellis 2 – 2 Philip Sekulic (4)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Blake Ellis 2–2 Philip Sekulic
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 01/07/26 Challenger Cary | 2-1 | 20-17 | W |
| 30/01/24 Challenger Burnie | 0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 24/10/23 Challenger Playford | 0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 18/08/20 UTR Pro Tennis Series Brisbane | 2-1 | 13-11 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Blake Ellis
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/10 | Anton Shepp M25 Tamworth |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 29/10 | Harrison Satara M25 Tamworth |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 28/10 | Pavle Marinkov M25 Tamworth |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 25/10 | Isaac Becroft M25 Tamworth |
1-2 | 18-19 | L |
| 24/10 | Stefan Vujic M25 Tamworth |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 24/10 | Herman Hoeyeraal M25 Tamworth |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 23/10 | Zane Stevens M25 Tamworth |
2-1 | 18-12 | W |
| 22/10 | Benjamin O'Connell M25 Tamworth |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 30/09 | Arjun Mehrotra M25 Darwin |
1-1 | 12-10 | W |
| 17/09 | Ilia Simakin Challenger Phan Thiet · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Philip Sekulic
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/10 | Tai Leonard Sach M25 Tamworth |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 29/10 | Herman Hoeyeraal M25 Tamworth |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 28/10 | Zak Talic M25 Tamworth |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 27/10 | Archie Stewart M25 Tamworth |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 23/10 | Casey Hoole M25 Tamworth |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 22/10 | Chen Dong M25 Tamworth |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 21/10 | Pavle Marinkov M25 Tamworth |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 10/10 | Stefan Vujic M25 Darwin |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 09/10 | Sam Ryan Ziegann M25 Darwin |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 08/10 | Ethan Cook M25 Darwin |
2-1 | 17-16 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Blake Ellis vs Philip Sekulic?
Our model gives 52% to Philip Sekulic, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.