Tennis · M25 Tamworth · 29/10, 01:30
Prediction: Matthew Dellavedova vs Lachlan Vickery
Team pages: Matthew Dellavedova · Lachlan Vickery
Prediction summary
Winner
Matthew Dellavedova
Lachlan Vickery
Estimated games
20.9
Recent form · 10 last
Matthew Dellavedova
7-3 (W-L)
Lachlan Vickery
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Matthew Dellavedova 1587 · Lachlan Vickery 1512
| Matthew Dellavedova | Lachlan Vickery | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 61% | 39% |
| Market | 90% | 10% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Matthew Dellavedova (rating 1587 vs 1512).
- Matthew Dellavedova is in better form: 90% recent wins.
Statistics
| Matthew Dellavedova | Lachlan Vickery | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 90% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 100% (2) | 33% (3) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.8-0.4 | 1.2-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.5-7.7 | 11.1-10.5 |
| Aces | 2.4 | 2.5 |
| Double faults | 0.8 | 3.3 |
| 1st serve % | 71% | 65.6% |
| Break % | 52.3% | 52.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.9
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Matthew Dellavedova
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/10 | Darcy Nicholls M25 Tamworth |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 24/10 | Stefan Vujic M25 Tamworth |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 23/10 | Naoki Nakagawa M25 Tamworth |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 18/10 | Martin Borisiouk M25 Qian Daohu |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 17/10 | Egor Pleshivtsev M25 Qian Daohu |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 16/10 | Arthur Weber M25 Qian Daohu |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
| 15/10 | Yaroslav Demin M25 Qian Daohu |
2-1 | 14-13 | W |
| 13/10 | Kaigaoge Kang M25 Qian Daohu |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 11/10 | Mert Alkaya M25 Luan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 10/10 | Yanki Erel M25 Luan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 8-4 | W |
Lachlan Vickery
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/10 | Reece Falck M25 Tamworth |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
| 27/10 | Samarth Patel M25 Tamworth |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 07/10 | Colin Sinclair M25 Darwin |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 01/10 | Jake Delaney M25 Darwin |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 30/09 | Jack Bruce-Smith M25 Darwin |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 29/09 | Harry Roberts M25 Darwin |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 16/09 | Qian Sun M25 Guiyang |
1-2 | 11-18 | L |
| 09/09 | Geun Jun Kim M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 08/09 | Jilong Huang M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 02/09 | Hiromasa Koyama M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Matthew Dellavedova vs Lachlan Vickery?
Our model gives 77% to Matthew Dellavedova, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.