Tennis · M25 Tamworth · 21/10, 02:00
Prediction: Harrison Satara vs Sam Ryan Ziegann
Team pages: Harrison Satara · Sam Ryan Ziegann
Prediction summary
Winner
Harrison Satara
Sam Ryan Ziegann
Estimated games
21.6
Recent form · 10 last
Harrison Satara
6-4 (W-L)
Sam Ryan Ziegann
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Harrison Satara 1505 · Sam Ryan Ziegann 1523
| Harrison Satara | Sam Ryan Ziegann | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 47% | 53% |
| Market | 41% | 59% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Harrison Satara dominates on serve: 6.2 aces and 48.3% break avg.
- Sam Ryan Ziegann dominates on serve: 7.2 aces and 47.4% break avg.
- Note: Harrison Satara makes many double faults (4.3/match).
Statistics
| Harrison Satara | Sam Ryan Ziegann | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 60% (5) | 60% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.1 | 1.2-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.3-10.8 | 10.7-10.5 |
| Aces | 6.2 | 7.2 |
| Double faults | 4.3 | 2 |
| 1st serve % | 77% | 69.4% |
| Break % | 48.3% | 47.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.6
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Harrison Satara
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/10 | Heaton Pann M25 Tamworth |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 07/10 | Jake Delaney M25 Darwin |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 30/09 | Hayden Jones M25 Darwin |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 29/09 | Alec Braund M25 Darwin |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 09/09 | Maksim Shin M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 04/09 | Geun Jun Kim M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 03/09 | Xiaoyin Yang M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 02/09 | Fitriadi M Rifqi M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 01/09 | Kazuki Nakajima M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 29/07 | Charlie Pade M15 Brisbane |
1-2 | 17-19 | L |
Sam Ryan Ziegann
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/10 | Philip Sekulic M25 Darwin |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 08/10 | Joshua Charlton M25 Darwin |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 07/10 | Luca Connaughton M25 Darwin |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 30/09 | Jake Delaney M25 Darwin |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 14/09 | Filip Peliwo Challenger Phan Thiet · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 13/09 | Thantub Suksumrarn Challenger Phan Thiet Qual · Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 08/09 | Timofei Derepasko Challenger Phan Thiet · Hard |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 07/09 | Yuta Kawahashi Challenger Phan Thiet · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 06/09 | Christopher Papa Challenger Phan Thiet · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 04/09 | Leo Borg M15 Bali |
1-2 | 14-18 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Harrison Satara vs Sam Ryan Ziegann?
Our model gives 56% to Sam Ryan Ziegann, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.