Tennis · UTR Pro Newport Beach · 21/10, 03:30
Prediction: Luca Ostovany vs Oskar Grzegorzewski
Team pages: Luca Ostovany · Oskar Grzegorzewski
Prediction summary
Winner
Luca Ostovany
Oskar Grzegorzewski
Estimated games
20.1
Recent form · 10 last
Luca Ostovany
8-2 (W-L)
Oskar Grzegorzewski
2-8 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Luca Ostovany 1480 · Oskar Grzegorzewski 1391
| Luca Ostovany | Oskar Grzegorzewski | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 63% | 37% |
| Market | 46% | 54% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Luca Ostovany (rating 1480 vs 1391).
- Luca Ostovany is in better form: 40% recent wins.
- Note: Oskar Grzegorzewski makes many double faults (4.4/match).
Statistics
| Luca Ostovany | Oskar Grzegorzewski | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 10% |
| Win % · Hard | 40% (10) | 0% (2) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.2 | 0.5-1.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.5-11.1 | 6.4-11.6 |
| Aces | 1.2 | 2.3 |
| Double faults | 2.5 | 4.4 |
| 1st serve % | 60.3% | 56.2% |
| Break % | 55% | 33.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.1
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Luca Ostovany
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/10 | Noah Folkesson Doudy UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 02/10 | Xavier Calvelo UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 29/09 | Adam Chodur UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
1-2 | 12-18 | L |
| 29/09 | Jan Kobierski UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 19/09 | Matei Gavrea UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 19/09 | Bautista Durrels Rojo UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 17/09 | Siddharth Bharadwaj UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 16/09 | Pablo Robledo Hoyos UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 15/09 | Pavel Bushuev UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 30/08 | Mario Garcia UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
1-2 | 7-14 | L |
Oskar Grzegorzewski
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/10 | David Knesl UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 18/08 | Wojciech Marek M15 Krakow |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 11/08 | Victor Ryden M15 Malmo |
1-2 | 10-10 | L |
| 10/08 | Erik Gahnstrom M15 Malmo |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 04/08 | Matteo Fondriest M15 Bielsko Biala |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 24/06 | Tomas Lanik M15 Rzeszow · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 19/05 | Andreas Messis M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
1-2 | 9-11 | L |
| 13/05 | Heorhii Shylov M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 18/11 | Jonah Braswell M25 Austin |
1-2 | 10-15 | L |
| 12/11 | Henry Searle ITF M25 Columbus · Hard |
0-2 | 4-11 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Luca Ostovany vs Oskar Grzegorzewski?
Our model gives 54% to Luca Ostovany, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.