Tennis · UTR Pro Newport Beach · 21/10, 19:30
Prediction: Luca Ostovany vs David Knesl
Team pages: Luca Ostovany · David Knesl
Prediction summary
Winner
Luca Ostovany
David Knesl
Estimated games
22.3
Recent form · 10 last
Luca Ostovany
8-2 (W-L)
David Knesl
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Luca Ostovany 1471 · David Knesl 1520
| Luca Ostovany | David Knesl | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 43% | 57% |
| Market | 31% | 69% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours David Knesl (rating 1471 vs 1520).
Statistics
| Luca Ostovany | David Knesl | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 40% (10) | 67% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.2 | 1.2-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.7-11.7 | 11.3-11.5 |
| Aces | 0.8 | 3 |
| Double faults | 2.6 | 0.5 |
| 1st serve % | 60.8% | 60.5% |
| Break % | 54.6% | 58.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.3
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Luca Ostovany
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/10 | Oskar Grzegorzewski UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
1-2 | 19-20 | L |
| 20/10 | Noah Folkesson Doudy UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 02/10 | Xavier Calvelo UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 29/09 | Adam Chodur UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
1-2 | 12-18 | L |
| 29/09 | Jan Kobierski UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 19/09 | Matei Gavrea UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 19/09 | Bautista Durrels Rojo UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 17/09 | Siddharth Bharadwaj UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 16/09 | Pablo Robledo Hoyos UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 15/09 | Pavel Bushuev UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
David Knesl
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/10 | Noah Folkesson Doudy UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 20/10 | Oskar Grzegorzewski UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 04/07 | Daniel Bien UTR Pro Olomouc · Carpet |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 03/07 | Theo Coats UTR Pro Olomouc · Carpet |
2-1 | 14-18 | W |
| 02/07 | Niels Lootsma UTR Pro Olomouc · Carpet |
1-2 | 9-14 | L |
| 30/06 | Ondrej Valek UTR Pro Olomouc · Carpet |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 27/06 | Vojtech Vales UTR Pro Match Series · Hard |
2-1 | 14-12 | W |
| 26/06 | Jacob Olar UTR Pro Match Series · Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 25/06 | Riccardo Campagnola UTR Pro Match Series · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 24/06 | Aleksa Oparnica UTR Pro Match Series · Hard |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Luca Ostovany vs David Knesl?
Our model gives 63% to David Knesl, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.