Tennis · UTR Pro Newport Beach · 21/10, 22:00
Prediction: Carter Craig vs Adam Chodur
Team pages: Carter Craig · Adam Chodur
Prediction summary
Winner
Carter Craig
Adam Chodur
Estimated games
20.7
Recent form · 10 last
Carter Craig
2-8 (W-L)
Adam Chodur
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Carter Craig 1403 · Adam Chodur 1525
| Carter Craig | Adam Chodur | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 33% | 67% |
| Market | 49% | 51% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Adam Chodur (rating 1403 vs 1525).
- Adam Chodur is in better form: 50% recent wins.
Statistics
| Carter Craig | Adam Chodur | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 20% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 20% (10) | 50% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.5-1.7 | 1.1-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 7.6-12.3 | 10.6-9.8 |
| Aces | 0.1 | 2 |
| Double faults | 3.6 | 1.6 |
| 1st serve % | 46.1% | 61.3% |
| Break % | 39% | 46.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.7
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Carter Craig
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/10 | Liam Spiers UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 19/10 | Lachlan Brain UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
1-2 | 12-17 | L |
| 24/07 | Graeme Angus UTR Pro Tallahassee · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 23/07 | Jacob Lee UTR Pro Tallahassee · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 22/07 | Alex Bulte UTR Pro Tallahassee · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 21/07 | Zavier Augustin UTR Pro Tallahassee · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 05/07 | Yubel Ubri UTR Pro Boca Raton · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 04/07 | Alexander Suhanitski UTR Pro Boca Raton · Hard |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 02/07 | Alvaro Frutos Alonso UTR Pro Boca Raton · Hard |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 01/07 | Junghee You UTR Pro Boca Raton · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
Adam Chodur
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/10 | Lachlan Brain UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 20/10 | Liam Spiers UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 18/10 | Jason Huang UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 17/10 | Lucas Hammond UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 16/10 | Mason Tran UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 14/10 | Zach Stephens UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 13/10 | Jason Huang UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 12/10 | Lawee Sherif UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 02/10 | Jan Kobierski UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
1-2 | 10-15 | L |
| 30/09 | Xavier Calvelo UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Carter Craig vs Adam Chodur?
Our model gives 58% to Adam Chodur, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.