Tennis · Challenger Lisbon · 21/10, 11:00
Prediction: Max Alcala Gurri vs Elmer Moller
Team pages: Max Alcala Gurri · Elmer Moller
Prediction summary
Winner
Max Alcala Gurri
Elmer Moller
Estimated games
22.3
Recent form · 10 last
Max Alcala Gurri
9-1 (W-L)
Elmer Moller
6-4 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Max Alcala Gurri
0–2
Elmer Moller
(2 last)
- 19 Nov0-2 7-12L
- 02 Apr0-2 6-12L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Max Alcala Gurri 1572 · Elmer Moller 1551
| Max Alcala Gurri | Elmer Moller | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 53% | 47% |
| Market | 56% | 44% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Max Alcala Gurri 0–2 Elmer Moller (2).
- Note: Elmer Moller makes many double faults (4/match).
Statistics
| Max Alcala Gurri | Elmer Moller | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 80% (10) | 63% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.7-0.5 | 1.5-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.9-7.5 | 13.4-12.5 |
| Aces | 0.7 | 3.2 |
| Double faults | 2.3 | 4 |
| 1st serve % | 64.3% | 63.4% |
| Break % | 52.3% | 46.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.3
H2H · Max Alcala Gurri 0 – 2 Elmer Moller (2)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Max Alcala Gurri 0–2 Elmer Moller
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19/11/25 Challenger Montemar | 0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 02/04/25 Challenger Menorca | 0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Max Alcala Gurri
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/10 | Andy Andrade Challenger Lisbon · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 13/10 | Alejo Sanchez Quilez Challenger Maia · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 09/10 | Lukas Neumayer Challenger Braga · Clay |
1-2 | 11-18 | L |
| 08/10 | Patrick Schoen Challenger Braga · Clay |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 07/10 | Dali Blanch Challenger Braga · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 27/09 | Jonas Forejtek Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 26/09 | Carlos Taberner Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 23/09 | Carlos Sanchez Jover Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 21/09 | Eliakim Coulibaly Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 11/09 | Genaro Alberto Olivieri Challenger Seville · Clay |
2-1 | 17-11 | W |
Elmer Moller
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/10 | Tristan Boyer Challenger Lisbon · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 14/10 | Lukas Neumayer Challenger Maia · Clay |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 11/10 | Matej Dodig Challenger Braga · Clay |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 10/10 | Vilius Gaubas Challenger Braga · Clay |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 09/10 | Tiago Pereira Challenger Braga · Clay |
2-1 | 17-10 | W |
| 08/10 | Zsombor Piros Challenger Braga · Clay |
2-1 | 14-12 | W |
| 05/10 | Thiago Monteiro Challenger Braga · Clay |
2-1 | 18-17 | W |
| 29/09 | Carlos Taberner Challenger Bari · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 19/09 | Iliyan Radulov Davis Cup |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 18/09 | Grigor Dimitrov Davis Cup |
1-2 | 14-18 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Max Alcala Gurri vs Elmer Moller?
Our model gives 55% to Max Alcala Gurri, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.