Tennis · UTR Pro Newport Beach · 21/10, 03:30
Prediction: Carter Craig vs Liam Spiers
Team pages: Carter Craig · Liam Spiers
Prediction summary
Winner
Carter Craig
Liam Spiers
Estimated games
20.2
Recent form · 10 last
Carter Craig
3-7 (W-L)
Liam Spiers
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Carter Craig 1429 · Liam Spiers 1478
| Carter Craig | Liam Spiers | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 43% | 57% |
| Market | 50% | 50% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Liam Spiers (rating 1429 vs 1478).
- Note: Carter Craig makes many double faults (4/match).
Statistics
| Carter Craig | Liam Spiers | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 30% (10) | 40% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.7-1.5 | 1-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 8.5-11.6 | 9.6-10.1 |
| Aces | 0.1 | 1 |
| Double faults | 4 | 3.9 |
| 1st serve % | 49.1% | 60.8% |
| Break % | 43.8% | 49.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.2
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Carter Craig
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/10 | Lachlan Brain UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
1-2 | 12-17 | L |
| 24/07 | Graeme Angus UTR Pro Tallahassee · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 23/07 | Jacob Lee UTR Pro Tallahassee · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 22/07 | Alex Bulte UTR Pro Tallahassee · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 21/07 | Zavier Augustin UTR Pro Tallahassee · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 05/07 | Yubel Ubri UTR Pro Boca Raton · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 04/07 | Alexander Suhanitski UTR Pro Boca Raton · Hard |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 02/07 | Alvaro Frutos Alonso UTR Pro Boca Raton · Hard |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 01/07 | Junghee You UTR Pro Boca Raton · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 30/06 | Kristof Minarik UTR Pro Boca Raton · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Liam Spiers
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/10 | Adam Chodur UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 02/10 | Joseph Nau UTR Pro Lincoln · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 01/10 | Joseph Lee UTR Pro Lincoln · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 30/09 | Eloi Roux UTR Pro Lincoln · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 29/09 | Henry Lamchinniah UTR Pro Lincoln · Hard |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 28/09 | Micah Ward UTR Pro Lincoln · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 05/07 | Cody Benton UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 04/07 | Pavel Bushuev UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 03/07 | JP Day UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 02/07 | Ilan Klein UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
1-2 | 10-15 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Carter Craig vs Liam Spiers?
Our model gives 53% to Liam Spiers, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.