Tennis · UTR Pro Newport Beach · 21/10, 22:00
Prediction: Lachlan Brain vs Liam Spiers
Team pages: Lachlan Brain · Liam Spiers
Prediction summary
Winner
Lachlan Brain
Liam Spiers
Estimated games
19.7
Recent form · 10 last
Lachlan Brain
3-7 (W-L)
Liam Spiers
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Lachlan Brain 1496 · Liam Spiers 1501
| Lachlan Brain | Liam Spiers | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 49% | 51% |
| Market | 56% | 44% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Lachlan Brain | Liam Spiers | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (10) | 50% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.2 | 1.1-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.8-9.8 | 9.8-8.9 |
| Aces | 1.7 | 0.9 |
| Double faults | 1 | 3.4 |
| 1st serve % | 63.6% | 60.3% |
| Break % | 47.9% | 58.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
19.7
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Lachlan Brain
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/10 | Adam Chodur UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 19/10 | Carter Craig UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-1 | 17-12 | W |
| 22/05 | Nolan Balthazor UTR Pro Madison · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 22/05 | Aryan Badlani UTR Pro Madison · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 21/05 | Drew Fishback UTR Pro Madison · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 20/05 | Shaan Patel UTR Pro Madison · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 19/05 | Drew Hedgecoe UTR Pro Madison · Hard |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 14/11 | Anuj Watane UTR Pro Tuscaloosa · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 12/11 | Theo Hegarty UTR Pro Tuscaloosa · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 12/11 | James Weber UTR Pro Tuscaloosa · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
Liam Spiers
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/10 | Carter Craig UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 20/10 | Adam Chodur UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 02/10 | Joseph Nau UTR Pro Lincoln · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 01/10 | Joseph Lee UTR Pro Lincoln · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 30/09 | Eloi Roux UTR Pro Lincoln · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 29/09 | Henry Lamchinniah UTR Pro Lincoln · Hard |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 28/09 | Micah Ward UTR Pro Lincoln · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 05/07 | Cody Benton UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 04/07 | Pavel Bushuev UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 03/07 | JP Day UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Lachlan Brain vs Liam Spiers?
Our model gives 53% to Lachlan Brain, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.