Tennis · Challenger Lisbon · 20/10, 14:00
Prediction: Sumit Nagal vs Alejo Sanchez Quilez
Team pages: Sumit Nagal · Alejo Sanchez Quilez
Prediction summary
Winner
Sumit Nagal
Alejo Sanchez Quilez
Estimated games
21.6
Recent form · 10 last
Sumit Nagal
3-7 (W-L)
Alejo Sanchez Quilez
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Sumit Nagal 1464 · Alejo Sanchez Quilez 1572
| Sumit Nagal | Alejo Sanchez Quilez | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 35% | 65% |
| Market | 46% | 54% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Alejo Sanchez Quilez (rating 1464 vs 1572).
- Alejo Sanchez Quilez is in better form: 70% recent wins.
Statistics
| Sumit Nagal | Alejo Sanchez Quilez | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 70% |
| Win % · Clay | 40% (5) | 88% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.7-1.5 | 1.4-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.7-12 | 11.4-9.7 |
| Aces | 1.3 | 2.7 |
| Double faults | 2.6 | 0.6 |
| 1st serve % | 57.8% | 67.2% |
| Break % | 24.9% | 32.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.6
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Sumit Nagal
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/10 | Luka Mikrut Challenger Maia · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 12/10 | Henrique Rocha Challenger Maia · Clay |
2-1 | 17-17 | W |
| 07/10 | Luka Mikrut Challenger Braga · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 01/10 | Yibing Wu Asian Games |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 29/09 | Seong Chan Hong Asian Games |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 19/09 | Soonwoo Kwon Davis Cup |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 18/09 | Hyeon Chung Davis Cup |
1-2 | 15-15 | L |
| 25/08 | Arthur Gea US Open · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 19/08 | Jan Kumstat Challenger Prague · Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 17/08 | Eduardo Ribeiro Challenger Prague · Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
Alejo Sanchez Quilez
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/10 | Kai Wehnelt Challenger Lisbon · Clay |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 18/10 | Duarte De Lima Sanches Challenger Lisbon · Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 17/10 | Zsombor Piros Challenger Maia · Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 16/10 | Luka Mikrut Challenger Maia · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 14/10 | Andrej Nedic Challenger Maia · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 13/10 | Max Alcala Gurri Challenger Maia · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 12/10 | Ivan Gakhov Challenger Maia · Clay |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 11/10 | Vasco Leote Prata Challenger Maia · Clay |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 05/10 | Daniel Rincon Challenger Villena · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 30/09 | Jacob Fearnley Challenger Porto · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Sumit Nagal vs Alejo Sanchez Quilez?
Our model gives 59% to Alejo Sanchez Quilez, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.