Tennis · Challenger Lisbon · 20/10, 12:30
Prediction: Patrick Schoen vs Svyatoslav Gulin
Team pages: Patrick Schoen · Svyatoslav Gulin
Prediction summary
Winner
Patrick Schoen
Svyatoslav Gulin
Estimated games
20.5
Recent form · 10 last
Patrick Schoen
8-2 (W-L)
Svyatoslav Gulin
7-3 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Patrick Schoen
1–0
Svyatoslav Gulin
(1 last)
- 19 Oct2-0 12-3W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Patrick Schoen 1581 · Svyatoslav Gulin 1559
| Patrick Schoen | Svyatoslav Gulin | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 53% | 47% |
| Market | 59% | 41% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Patrick Schoen 1–0 Svyatoslav Gulin (1).
Statistics
| Patrick Schoen | Svyatoslav Gulin | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 70% |
| Win % · Clay | 75% (8) | 70% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-0.5 | 1.4-0.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.3-7.6 | 10.7-8.4 |
| Aces | 1.3 | 2.7 |
| Double faults | 1.8 | 1.6 |
| 1st serve % | 74.8% | 70% |
| Break % | 40.2% | 49.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.5
H2H · Patrick Schoen 1 – 0 Svyatoslav Gulin (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Patrick Schoen 1–0 Svyatoslav Gulin
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19/10/26 Challenger Lisbon | 2-0 | 12-3 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Patrick Schoen
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/10 | Svyatoslav Gulin Challenger Lisbon · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 18/10 | Francisco Rocha Challenger Lisbon · Clay |
2-1 | 18-18 | W |
| 12/10 | Michael Vrbensky Challenger Maia · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 11/10 | Guilherme Valdoleiros Challenger Maia · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 08/10 | Max Alcala Gurri Challenger Braga · Clay |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 07/10 | Andrej Nedic Challenger Braga · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 05/10 | Filip Misolic Challenger Braga · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 04/10 | Alberto Barroso Campos Challenger Braga · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 20/09 | Fausto Tabacco M25 Sintra |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 19/09 | Tiago Cacao M25 Sintra |
2-0 | 14-10 | W |
Svyatoslav Gulin
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/10 | Patrick Schoen Challenger Lisbon · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 18/10 | Takeru Yuzuki Challenger Lisbon · Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 15/10 | Gianluca Cadenasso Challenger Catania · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 13/10 | Franco Agamenone Challenger Catania · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 12/10 | Pedro Rodenas Challenger Catania · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 11/10 | Tilen Kovac Challenger Catania · Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 27/09 | Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes Challenger Bari · Clay |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 20/09 | Ryo Tabata Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 08/09 | Lukas Neumayer Challenger Tulln · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 07/09 | Andrej Martin Challenger Tulln · Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Patrick Schoen vs Svyatoslav Gulin?
Our model gives 56% to Patrick Schoen, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.