Tennis · Challenger Lisbon · 20/10, 17:00
Prediction: Tiago Torres vs Andrej Martin
Team pages: Tiago Torres · Andrej Martin
Prediction summary
Winner
Tiago Torres
Andrej Martin
Estimated games
21.4
Recent form · 10 last
Tiago Torres
4-6 (W-L)
Andrej Martin
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Tiago Torres 1459 · Andrej Martin 1506
| Tiago Torres | Andrej Martin | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 43% | 57% |
| Market | 56% | 44% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Andrej Martin (rating 1459 vs 1506).
- Note: Tiago Torres makes many double faults (5.5/match).
Statistics
| Tiago Torres | Andrej Martin | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 40% (5) | 44% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.9-1.5 | 1-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.6-12.2 | 10-9.3 |
| Aces | 2.6 | 2.1 |
| Double faults | 5.5 | 3.4 |
| 1st serve % | 64.7% | 68.4% |
| Break % | 38.8% | 43.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.4
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Tiago Torres
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/10 | Francesco Passaro Challenger Maia · Clay |
0-2 | 4-11 | L |
| 07/10 | Marvin Moeller Challenger Braga · Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 28/09 | Jerome Kym Challenger Porto · Hard |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 17/09 | Tiago Cacao M25 Sintra |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 15/09 | Jack Anthrop M25 Sintra |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 08/09 | Mert Alkaya Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 31/08 | Mika Petkovic Challenger Porto · Hard |
1-2 | 16-18 | L |
| 24/07 | Hugo Gaston ATP Estoril · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 22/07 | Alejandro Tabilo ATP Estoril · Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 20/07 | Nikoloz Basilashvili ATP Estoril · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Andrej Martin
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/10 | Alexander Ritschard Challenger Lisbon · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 18/10 | Tiago Cacao Challenger Lisbon · Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 13/10 | Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo Challenger Maia · Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 12/10 | Duje Ajdukovic Challenger Maia · Clay |
2-1 | 17-12 | W |
| 11/10 | Joao Domingues Challenger Maia · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 07/10 | Alejandro Moro Canas Challenger Palermo · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 29/09 | Samuele Pieri Challenger Bari · Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 07/09 | Svyatoslav Gulin Challenger Tulln · Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 06/09 | Jonas Gundacker Challenger Tulln · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 30/08 | Manuel Plunger M15 Vienna |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Tiago Torres vs Andrej Martin?
Our model gives 50% to Tiago Torres, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.