Tennis · Challenger Lisbon · 20/10, 12:30
Prediction: Carlos Taberner vs Alexander Ritschard
Team pages: Carlos Taberner · Alexander Ritschard
Prediction summary
Winner
Carlos Taberner
Alexander Ritschard
Estimated games
21.5
Recent form · 10 last
Carlos Taberner
6-4 (W-L)
Alexander Ritschard
8-2 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Carlos Taberner 1540 · Alexander Ritschard 1620
| Carlos Taberner | Alexander Ritschard | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 39% | 61% |
| Market | 38% | 63% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Alexander Ritschard (rating 1540 vs 1620).
Statistics
| Carlos Taberner | Alexander Ritschard | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 90% |
| Win % · Clay | 70% (10) | 90% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-0.9 | 1.8-0.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.2-10.8 | 12.2-6.2 |
| Aces | 1.8 | 3.3 |
| Double faults | 2.8 | 1.9 |
| 1st serve % | 66.4% | 82.6% |
| Break % | 45.6% | 55.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.5
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Carlos Taberner
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/10 | Oleksii Krutykh Challenger Lisbon · Clay |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 18/10 | Goncalo Marques Challenger Lisbon · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 11/10 | Benjamin Hassan Challenger Maia · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 02/10 | Samuele Pieri Challenger Bari · Clay |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 01/10 | Massimo Giunta Challenger Bari · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 29/09 | Elmer Moller Challenger Bari · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 26/09 | Max Alcala Gurri Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 25/09 | Calvin Hemery Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
2-1 | 14-15 | W |
| 23/09 | Max Wiskandt Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 22/09 | Petr Nesterov Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
2-1 | 13-10 | W |
Alexander Ritschard
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/10 | Andrej Martin Challenger Lisbon · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 18/10 | Joao Dinis Silva Challenger Lisbon · Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 04/10 | Alejandro Moro Canas M25 Zaragoza · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 03/10 | Ryan Nijboer M25 Zaragoza · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 02/10 | Miguel Damas M25 Zaragoza · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 01/10 | Samuel Arauzo Martinez M25 Zaragoza · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 29/09 | Iannis Miletich M25 Zaragoza · ~Clay |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 09/09 | Sebastian Ofner Challenger Seville · Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 08/09 | Roberto Carballes Baena Challenger Seville · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 07/09 | Alejandro Turriziani Alvarez Challenger Seville · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Carlos Taberner vs Alexander Ritschard?
Our model gives 62% to Alexander Ritschard, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.