Tennis · M25 Sarreguemines · 21/10, 10:00
Prediction: Mickael Kaouk vs Daniel Masur
Team pages: Mickael Kaouk · Daniel Masur
Prediction summary
Winner
Mickael Kaouk
Daniel Masur
Estimated games
22.2
Recent form · 10 last
Mickael Kaouk
5-5 (W-L)
Daniel Masur
8-2 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Mickael Kaouk 1472 · Daniel Masur 1555
| Mickael Kaouk | Daniel Masur | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 38% | 62% |
| Market | 22% | 78% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Daniel Masur (rating 1472 vs 1555).
- Daniel Masur dominates on serve: 7.3 aces and 40% break avg.
- Daniel Masur is in better form: 70% recent wins.
- Note: Mickael Kaouk makes many double faults (4.2/match).
Statistics
| Mickael Kaouk | Daniel Masur | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 0% (3) | 70% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.9-1.2 | 1.5-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.3-10.4 | 14-12.2 |
| Aces | 1.7 | 7.3 |
| Double faults | 4.2 | 2.4 |
| 1st serve % | 65.3% | 73.7% |
| Break % | 45% | 40% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.2
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Mickael Kaouk
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/10 | Norbert Gombos Challenger Roanne · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 20/09 | Justin Boulais Challenger Saint-Tropez · Hard |
1-2 | 12-17 | L |
| 15/09 | Anton Matusevich Challenger Rennes · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 11/09 | Patrick Zahraj M25 Plaisir |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 10/09 | Nicolas Ifi M25 Plaisir |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 08/09 | Matt Ponchet M25 Plaisir |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 14/08 | Lars Goran Verwerft M25 Koksijde |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 12/08 | Laurent Lokoli M25 Koksijde |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 11/08 | Justas Trainauskas M25 Koksijde |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 01/07 | Marvin Moeller Challenger Troyes · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Daniel Masur
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/10 | Georgii Kravchenko Challenger Olbia · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 11/10 | Sebastian Dominko Challenger Olbia · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 25/09 | Murphy Cassone Challenger Saint-Tropez · Hard |
1-2 | 17-19 | L |
| 24/09 | Matteo Martineau Challenger Saint-Tropez · Hard |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
| 22/09 | Moez Echargui Challenger Saint-Tropez · Hard |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 21/09 | Maxime Janvier Challenger Saint-Tropez · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 20/09 | Leonardo Rossi Challenger Saint-Tropez · Hard |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 15/09 | Borna Gojo Challenger Rennes · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 14/09 | Daniel De Jonge Challenger Rennes · Hard |
2-1 | 18-18 | W |
| 13/09 | Adrien Gobat Challenger Rennes · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Mickael Kaouk vs Daniel Masur?
Our model gives 71% to Daniel Masur, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.