Tennis · M25 Sarreguemines · 21/10, 10:00
Prediction: Gijs Brouwer vs Yanis Ghazouani Durand
Team pages: Gijs Brouwer · Yanis Ghazouani Durand
Prediction summary
Winner
Gijs Brouwer
Yanis Ghazouani Durand
Estimated games
21.9
Recent form · 10 last
Gijs Brouwer
3-7 (W-L)
Yanis Ghazouani Durand
5-5 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Gijs Brouwer
0–1
Yanis Ghazouani Durand
(1 last)
- 13 Sept1-2 13-14L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Gijs Brouwer 1447 · Yanis Ghazouani Durand 1511
| Gijs Brouwer | Yanis Ghazouani Durand | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 41% | 59% |
| Market | 41% | 59% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Yanis Ghazouani Durand (rating 1447 vs 1511).
- Head-to-head: Gijs Brouwer 0–1 Yanis Ghazouani Durand (1).
- Note: Yanis Ghazouani Durand makes many double faults (4.7/match).
Statistics
| Gijs Brouwer | Yanis Ghazouani Durand | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 38% (8) | 50% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.8-1.7 | 1.2-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.4-13 | 11.1-11.8 |
| Aces | 1.3 | 2.7 |
| Double faults | 3.4 | 4.7 |
| 1st serve % | 58.6% | 63.9% |
| Break % | 30.4% | 38.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.9
H2H · Gijs Brouwer 0 – 1 Yanis Ghazouani Durand (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Gijs Brouwer 0–1 Yanis Ghazouani Durand
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13/09/26 Challenger Rennes | 1-2 | 13-14 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Gijs Brouwer
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/10 | Lucas Poullain Challenger Roanne · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 06/10 | Timeo Trufelli M15 Rodez |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 13/09 | Yanis Ghazouani Durand Challenger Rennes · Hard |
1-2 | 13-14 | L |
| 09/09 | Titouan Droguet Challenger Cassis · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 07/09 | Matteo Martineau Challenger Cassis · Hard |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 25/08 | Andres Martin Challenger Kingston · Hard |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
| 08/08 | Lucas Poullain Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 07/08 | Koki Matsuda Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
2-1 | 13-12 | W |
| 04/08 | Manas Manoj Dhamne Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
| 12/07 | Tsung-Hao Huang Challenger Bunschoten · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
Yanis Ghazouani Durand
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/10 | Tom Paris Challenger Roanne · Hard |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 29/09 | Nicolai Budkov Kjaer Challenger Mouilleron le Captif · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 28/09 | Leonardo Rossi Challenger Mouilleron le Captif · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 27/09 | Emile Hudd Challenger Mouilleron le Captif · Hard |
2-1 | 14-11 | W |
| 20/09 | Karl Poling Challenger Saint-Tropez · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 17/09 | Francesco Maestrelli Challenger Rennes · Hard |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 15/09 | Leo Raquillet Challenger Rennes · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 14/09 | Nikola Slavic Challenger Rennes · Hard |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 13/09 | Gijs Brouwer Challenger Rennes · Hard |
2-1 | 14-13 | W |
| 10/09 | Nicolai Budkov Kjaer Challenger Cassis · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Gijs Brouwer vs Yanis Ghazouani Durand?
Our model gives 59% to Yanis Ghazouani Durand, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.