Tennis · M25 Sarreguemines · 21/10, 10:00
Prediction: Robert Strombachs vs Adrien Gobat
Team pages: Robert Strombachs · Adrien Gobat
Prediction summary
Winner
Robert Strombachs
Adrien Gobat
Estimated games
22.3
Recent form · 10 last
Robert Strombachs
8-2 (W-L)
Adrien Gobat
8-2 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Robert Strombachs
1–0
Adrien Gobat
(1 last)
- 11 Jan2-1 17-14W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Robert Strombachs 1628 · Adrien Gobat 1573
| Robert Strombachs | Adrien Gobat | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 58% | 42% |
| Market | 69% | 31% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Robert Strombachs (rating 1628 vs 1573).
- Adrien Gobat dominates on serve: 6.7 aces and 44.6% break avg.
- Head-to-head: Robert Strombachs 1–0 Adrien Gobat (1).
- Note: Adrien Gobat makes many double faults (4.1/match).
Statistics
| Robert Strombachs | Adrien Gobat | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 90% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 90% (10) | 0% (2) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.8-0.5 | 1.5-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.7-8.8 | 13.2-11.4 |
| Aces | 3.2 | 6.7 |
| Double faults | 3.9 | 4.1 |
| 1st serve % | 75.6% | 74.3% |
| Break % | 50.5% | 44.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.3
H2H · Robert Strombachs 1 – 0 Adrien Gobat (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Robert Strombachs 1–0 Adrien Gobat
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11/01/23 ITF M25 Veigy-Foncenex | 2-1 | 17-14 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Robert Strombachs
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/10 | Anton Arzhankin M15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 10/10 | Amr Asrawy M15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 09/10 | Rihards Neimanis M15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 08/10 | Karim Ibrahim M15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 07/10 | Jan Werblinski M15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 03/10 | Paul Jubb M15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 02/10 | Michal Krajci M15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
2-1 | 14-13 | W |
| 01/10 | Luca Castagnola M15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 27/09 | Karan Singh M25 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
2-1 | 16-16 | W |
| 26/09 | Branko Djuric M25 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Adrien Gobat
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/10 | Martin Riu M25 Sarreguemines |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 18/10 | Romain Andres M25 Sarreguemines |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 11/10 | Jelle Sels M15 Rodez |
2-1 | 18-17 | W |
| 10/10 | Axel Garcian M15 Rodez |
2-1 | 19-15 | W |
| 09/10 | Daniel Jade M15 Rodez |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 08/10 | Timeo Trufelli M15 Rodez |
2-1 | 17-16 | W |
| 06/10 | Calvin Mueller M15 Rodez |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 13/09 | Daniel Masur Challenger Rennes · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 09/09 | Nicolas Ifi M25 Plaisir |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 22/02 | Florian Broska Challenger St Brieuc · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Robert Strombachs vs Adrien Gobat?
Our model gives 64% to Robert Strombachs, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.