Tennis · M25 Tamworth · 21/10, 01:00
Prediction: Pavle Marinkov vs Philip Sekulic
Team pages: Pavle Marinkov · Philip Sekulic
Prediction summary
Winner
Pavle Marinkov
Philip Sekulic
Estimated games
21.3
Recent form · 10 last
Pavle Marinkov
1-9 (W-L)
Philip Sekulic
5-5 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Pavle Marinkov
0–1
Philip Sekulic
(1 last)
- 29 Oct1-2 10-17L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Pavle Marinkov 1418 · Philip Sekulic 1514
| Pavle Marinkov | Philip Sekulic | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 37% | 63% |
| Market | 25% | 75% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Philip Sekulic (rating 1418 vs 1514).
- Philip Sekulic is in better form: 60% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Pavle Marinkov 0–1 Philip Sekulic (1).
- Note: Pavle Marinkov makes many double faults (6.8/match).
Statistics
| Pavle Marinkov | Philip Sekulic | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 20% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 20% (10) | 33% (3) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.4-1.7 | 1.3-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 8.1-11.6 | 12.2-10.7 |
| Aces | 4.2 | 4.8 |
| Double faults | 6.8 | 2.3 |
| 1st serve % | 69.2% | 75.6% |
| Break % | 23% | 36% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.3
H2H · Pavle Marinkov 0 – 1 Philip Sekulic (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Pavle Marinkov 0–1 Philip Sekulic
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29/10/24 Challenger Sydney | 1-2 | 10-17 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Pavle Marinkov
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/07 | Christian Langmo Challenger Vancouver · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 19/07 | Mikael Arseneault Challenger Winnipeg · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 13/07 | Yibing Wu Challenger Lincoln · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 12/07 | Ronit Karki Challenger Lincoln · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 16/06 | Christian Langmo M25 Tulsa · ~Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 11/06 | Duncan Chan M25 Wichita · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 09/06 | Ryan Colby M25 Wichita · ~Hard |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 31/05 | Masamichi Imamura Challenger Tyler · Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 24/05 | Justin Boulais Challenger Little Rock · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 21/04 | Kokoro Isomura M25 Luzhou · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
Philip Sekulic
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/10 | Stefan Vujic M25 Darwin |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 09/10 | Sam Ryan Ziegann M25 Darwin |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 08/10 | Ethan Cook M25 Darwin |
2-1 | 17-16 | W |
| 06/10 | Mustafa Ege Sik M25 Darwin |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 02/10 | Herman Hoeyeraal M25 Darwin |
1-2 | 15-14 | L |
| 01/10 | Zak Talic M25 Darwin |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 30/09 | Stefan Storch M25 Darwin |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 22/09 | Dalibor Svrcina ATP Hangzhou · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 18/09 | Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez Challenger Phan Thiet · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 16/09 | Kenta Miyoshi Challenger Phan Thiet · Hard |
2-1 | 19-16 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Pavle Marinkov vs Philip Sekulic?
Our model gives 70% to Philip Sekulic, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.