Tennis · W35 Sydney · 20/10, 04:00
Prediction: Mutsumi Uemura vs Ya-Yi Yang
Team pages: Mutsumi Uemura · Ya-Yi Yang
Prediction summary
Winner
Mutsumi Uemura
Ya-Yi Yang
Estimated games
22.2
Recent form · 10 last
Mutsumi Uemura
5-5 (W-L)
Ya-Yi Yang
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Mutsumi Uemura 1557 · Ya-Yi Yang 1474
| Mutsumi Uemura | Ya-Yi Yang | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 62% | 38% |
| Market | 50% | 50% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Mutsumi Uemura (rating 1557 vs 1474).
Statistics
| Mutsumi Uemura | Ya-Yi Yang | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 40% |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-1.1 | 1-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.4-10.2 | 10.6-11.8 |
| Aces | 0.9 | 3.9 |
| Double faults | 2.7 | 3.7 |
| 1st serve % | 64.8% | 69.4% |
| Break % | 43.2% | 36.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.2
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Mutsumi Uemura
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/10 | Ena Shibahara W35 Wagga Wagga |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 08/10 | Hikaru Sato W35 Wagga Wagga |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 07/10 | Nagi Hanatani W35 Wagga Wagga |
2-1 | 16-8 | W |
| 03/10 | Mio Mushika W35 Wagga Wagga |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 02/10 | Ashleigh Simes W35 Wagga Wagga |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 01/10 | Tahlia Kokkinis W35 Wagga Wagga |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 29/09 | Eva Lopez W35 Wagga Wagga |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 24/09 | Hikaru Sato W50 Nanao |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 22/09 | Chihiro Muramatsu W50 Nanao |
2-1 | 18-12 | W |
| 16/09 | Hina Inoue W35 Kyoto |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
Ya-Yi Yang
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/10 | Ena Shibahara W35 Wagga Wagga |
1-2 | 12-17 | L |
| 29/09 | Yulia Putintseva Asian Games |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 15/09 | Kristiana Sidorova W35 Shenyang |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 10/09 | Xinxin Yao W50 Guiyang |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 09/09 | Junhan Zhang W50 Guiyang |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 07/09 | Anna Kubareva W50 Guiyang |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 06/09 | Chengyiyi Yuan W50 Guiyang |
2-1 | 15-15 | W |
| 30/08 | Momoko Kobori W75 Tianjin |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 21/08 | Rinko Matsuda W15 Tianjin |
1-2 | 17-19 | L |
| 20/08 | Ru Xi Wu W15 Tianjin |
2-0 | 9-3 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Mutsumi Uemura vs Ya-Yi Yang?
Our model gives 55% to Mutsumi Uemura.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.