Tennis · W35 Sydney · 30/10, 00:00
Prediction: Alana Subasic vs Belle Thompson
Team pages: Alana Subasic · Belle Thompson
Prediction summary
Winner
Alana Subasic
Belle Thompson
Estimated games
21.1
Recent form · 10 last
Alana Subasic
6-4 (W-L)
Belle Thompson
4-6 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Alana Subasic
2–1
Belle Thompson
(3 last)
- 17 Jul1-2 18-18L
- 15 Aug2-0 13-9W
- 17 Dec2-0 12-5W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Alana Subasic 1508 · Belle Thompson 1535
| Alana Subasic | Belle Thompson | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 46% | 54% |
| Market | 59% | 41% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Alana Subasic 2–1 Belle Thompson (3).
Statistics
| Alana Subasic | Belle Thompson | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 0% (1) | 80% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1 | 1.2-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 11-9.3 | 10.9-8.7 |
| Aces | 0.9 | 0.1 |
| Double faults | 2.7 | 3.6 |
| 1st serve % | 61% | 60.8% |
| Break % | 61.6% | 51.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.1
H2H · Alana Subasic 2 – 1 Belle Thompson (3)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Alana Subasic 2–1 Belle Thompson
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17/07/26 W15 Brisbane | 1-2 | 18-18 | L |
| 15/08/25 ITF W15 Tweed Heads | 2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 17/12/23 ITF W25 Papamoa | 2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Alana Subasic
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/10 | Tahlia Kokkinis W35 Sydney |
2-0 | 9-0 | W |
| 28/10 | Jizelle Sibai W35 Sydney |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 22/10 | Naiktha Bains W35 Sydney |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 21/10 | Georgia Campbell W35 Sydney |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 07/10 | Haruna Arakawa W35 Wagga Wagga |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 30/09 | Nana Onozawa W35 Wagga Wagga |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 17/07 | Belle Thompson W15 Brisbane |
1-2 | 18-18 | L |
| 16/07 | Angel Warang W15 Brisbane |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 14/07 | Mana Kawamura W15 Brisbane |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 28/06 | Duru Soke W15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
Belle Thompson
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/10 | Dayeon Back W35 Sydney |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
| 28/10 | Sera Nishimoto W35 Sydney |
2-1 | 18-11 | W |
| 21/10 | I Wen Wan W35 Sydney |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 07/10 | Yuno Kitahara W35 Wagga Wagga |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 30/09 | Ashleigh Simes W35 Wagga Wagga |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 20/09 | I Wen Wan UTR Pro Sydney Women · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 19/09 | Lily Fannin UTR Pro Sydney Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 17/09 | Laquisa Khan UTR Pro Sydney Women · Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 16/09 | Sarah Munroe UTR Pro Sydney Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 15/09 | Piper Freeman UTR Pro Sydney Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Alana Subasic vs Belle Thompson?
Our model gives 53% to Alana Subasic, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.