Tennis · W35 Sydney · 29/10, 01:30
Prediction: Eva Lopez vs Erika Sema
Team pages: Eva Lopez · Erika Sema
Prediction summary
Winner
Eva Lopez
Erika Sema
Estimated games
21
Recent form · 10 last
Eva Lopez
5-5 (W-L)
Erika Sema
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Eva Lopez 1538 · Erika Sema 1484
| Eva Lopez | Erika Sema | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 58% | 42% |
| Market | 11% | 89% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Eva Lopez (rating 1538 vs 1484).
- Note: Erika Sema makes many double faults (4.3/match).
Statistics
| Eva Lopez | Erika Sema | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 67% (6) | – |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1 | 1.1-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.8-8.9 | 10.7-12.3 |
| Aces | 3.5 | 0.3 |
| Double faults | 1.5 | 4.3 |
| 1st serve % | 53.3% | 55.4% |
| Break % | 36.3% | 49% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Eva Lopez
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/10 | Ya-Yi Yang W35 Sydney |
1-1 | 9-7 | W |
| 27/10 | Angela Cui W35 Sydney |
2-1 | 9-9 | W |
| 20/10 | Georgia Campbell W35 Sydney |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 29/09 | Mutsumi Uemura W35 Wagga Wagga |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 17/09 | Caitlin Abela UTR Pro Sydney Women · Hard |
1-2 | 11-13 | L |
| 15/09 | Nikitha Desai UTR Pro Sydney Women · Hard |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 14/09 | Lily Fannin UTR Pro Sydney Women · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 11/09 | Kai Ning Chanya Ng UTR Pro Sydney Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 10/09 | Chiara Di Tommaso UTR Pro Sydney Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 09/09 | Emily Johnson UTR Pro Sydney Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Erika Sema
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/10 | Miho Kuramochi W35 Sydney |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 22/10 | Mio Mushika W35 Sydney |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 21/10 | Jizelle Sibai W35 Sydney |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
| 06/09 | Vaishnavi Adkar W50 Guiyang |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 30/08 | Jia-Jing Lu W75 Tianjin |
1-2 | 16-17 | L |
| 06/08 | Eunhye Lee W35 Southaven |
1-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 04/08 | Maria F Navarro Oliva W35 Southaven |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 30/07 | Sara Saito W75 Lexington |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 29/07 | Mckenna Schaefbauer W75 Lexington |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 23/07 | Teah Chavez W35 Saskatoon |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Eva Lopez vs Erika Sema?
Our model gives 68% to Erika Sema, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.