Tennis · W35 Sydney · 29/10, 00:00
Prediction: Belle Thompson vs Dayeon Back
Team pages: Belle Thompson · Dayeon Back
Prediction summary
Winner
Belle Thompson
Dayeon Back
Estimated games
19.5
Recent form · 10 last
Belle Thompson
5-5 (W-L)
Dayeon Back
3-7 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Belle Thompson 1555 · Dayeon Back 1445
| Belle Thompson | Dayeon Back | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 65% | 35% |
| Market | 14% | 86% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Belle Thompson (rating 1555 vs 1445).
- Belle Thompson is in better form: 60% recent wins.
Statistics
| Belle Thompson | Dayeon Back | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 30% |
| Win % · Hard | 83% (6) | 50% (2) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-0.9 | 0.6-1.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.5-8.3 | 6.6-10.2 |
| Aces | 0.1 | 0.3 |
| Double faults | 3.6 | 0.8 |
| 1st serve % | 61.3% | 50.3% |
| Break % | 57.1% | 61.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
19.5
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Belle Thompson
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/10 | Sera Nishimoto W35 Sydney |
2-1 | 18-11 | W |
| 21/10 | I Wen Wan W35 Sydney |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 07/10 | Yuno Kitahara W35 Wagga Wagga |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 30/09 | Ashleigh Simes W35 Wagga Wagga |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 20/09 | I Wen Wan UTR Pro Sydney Women · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 19/09 | Lily Fannin UTR Pro Sydney Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 17/09 | Laquisa Khan UTR Pro Sydney Women · Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 16/09 | Sarah Munroe UTR Pro Sydney Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 15/09 | Piper Freeman UTR Pro Sydney Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 13/09 | Laquisa Khan UTR Pro Sydney Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Dayeon Back
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/10 | Elyse Tse W35 Sydney |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 29/09 | Himeno Sakatsume Asian Games |
0-2 | 5-13 | L |
| 23/09 | Maya Joint WTA Seoul · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 21/09 | Yue Yuan WTA Seoul · Hard |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
| 09/09 | Viktoria Morvayova W50 Guiyang |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 01/09 | Mei Yamaguchi W75 Tianjin |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 13/08 | Laima Vladson W50 Hamburg |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 12/08 | Arina Gabriela Vasilescu W50 Hamburg |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 05/08 | Julie Pastikova W75 Leipzig |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 29/07 | Xinxin Yao W75 Hechingen |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Belle Thompson vs Dayeon Back?
Our model gives 63% to Dayeon Back, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.