Tennis · W35 Sydney · 20/10, 01:00

Prediction: Sera Nishimoto vs Maiko Uchijima

Team pages: Sera Nishimoto · Maiko Uchijima

Prediction summary
Winner
47% 53%
Sera Nishimoto Maiko Uchijima
Estimated games
20.7
Recent form · 10 last
Sera Nishimoto 3-7 (W-L)
WLLWLWLLLL
Maiko Uchijima 4-6 (W-L)
WWLLLLWWLL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Sera Nishimoto 1408 · Maiko Uchijima 1460
Sera NishimotoMaiko Uchijima
Our model43%57%
Market50%50%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Maiko Uchijima (rating 1408 vs 1460).
  • Note: Sera Nishimoto makes many double faults (4.1/match).

Statistics

Sera NishimotoMaiko Uchijima
Win %20%40%
Sets (G-P)0.6-1.60.9-1.4
Games (G-P)8.2-11.28.4-11.6
Aces0.60
Double faults4.12.6
1st serve %53.5%52.7%
Break %41.3%58%
Estimated total games (ours) 20.7

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Sera Nishimoto

LLLLL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
06/10 Rira Kosaka
W35 Wagga Wagga
0-2 8-12 L
22/09 Tiana Tian Deng
W50 Nanao
1-2 11-17 L
15/09 Hee Rae Im
W35 Kyoto
0-2 2-12 L
12/08 Shihomi Li Xuan Leong
W15 Tianjin
0-2 0-9 L
11/08 Onyu Choi
W15 Tianjin
1-2 10-10 L
05/08 Meiqi Guo
W15 Tianjin
0-2 9-13 L
04/08 Minxu Zhou
W15 Tianjin
2-0 12-5 W
14/07 Kristina Kroitor
W15 Astana
0-2 9-12 L
09/07 Maria Sholokhova
W15 Astana
0-2 8-12 L
07/07 Nina Sozaonova
W15 Astana
2-0 13-10 W

Maiko Uchijima

LLWLL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
06/10 I Wen Wan
W35 Wagga Wagga
0-2 3-12 L
30/09 Naho Sato
W35 Wagga Wagga
0-2 5-12 L
29/09 Madison Schwarz
W35 Wagga Wagga
2-0 13-8 W
21/09 Ayumi Miyamoto
W50 Nanao
1-2 11-14 L
25/08 Maria Kalyakina
W15 Tianjin
0-2 5-12 L
19/08 Ru Xi Wu
W15 Tianjin
0-2 5-12 L
18/08 Alisa Vasileva
W15 Tianjin
2-1 10-12 W
30/07 Laquisa Khan
W15 Brisbane
0-2 3-12 L
29/07 Eva Lopez
W15 Brisbane
2-1 16-14 W
28/07 Kimiko Cooper
W15 Brisbane
2-0 13-8 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Sera Nishimoto vs Maiko Uchijima?

Our model gives 53% to Maiko Uchijima.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.