Tennis · M25 Tamworth · 21/10, 01:00
Prediction: Anton Shepp vs Reece Falck
Team pages: Anton Shepp · Reece Falck
Prediction summary
Winner
Anton Shepp
Reece Falck
Estimated games
21
Recent form · 10 last
Anton Shepp
3-7 (W-L)
Reece Falck
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Anton Shepp 1487 · Reece Falck 1430
| Anton Shepp | Reece Falck | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 58% | 42% |
| Market | 81% | 19% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Anton Shepp (rating 1487 vs 1430).
Statistics
| Anton Shepp | Reece Falck | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 30% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (4) | 0% (1) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.9-1.3 | 0.9-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 10-10.7 | 10.4-11 |
| Aces | 5.9 | 5.7 |
| Double faults | 2.4 | 2.7 |
| 1st serve % | 70.6% | 71.2% |
| Break % | 45.7% | 41.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Anton Shepp
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/10 | Kristjan Tamm M25 Qian Daohu |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 14/10 | Zichen Shao M25 Qian Daohu |
2-0 | 11-6 | W |
| 09/10 | Yanki Erel M25 Luan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 10-14 | L |
| 08/10 | Taiyo Yamanaka M25 Luan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 07/10 | Lingxi Zhao M25 Luan · ~Hard |
2-1 | 15-10 | W |
| 20/09 | Sho Shimabukuro Davis Cup |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 19/09 | Rei Sakamoto Davis Cup |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 10/09 | Nathan Anthony Barki M15 Bali |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 08/09 | Hitesh Chauhan M15 Bali |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 31/08 | Mathys Erhard Challenger Manacor · Hard |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
Reece Falck
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/10 | Ethan Cook M25 Darwin |
1-2 | 15-15 | L |
| 01/10 | Herman Hoeyeraal M25 Darwin |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 29/09 | Luca Connaughton M25 Darwin |
2-0 | 12-0 | W |
| 08/09 | Alexander Chang M15 Bali |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 01/09 | Blake Ellis M15 Bali |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 15/07 | Benjamin Willwerth M15 Rochester |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 10/07 | Emon Van Loben Sels M15 Rancho Santa Fe |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 09/07 | Alejandro Hayen M15 Rancho Santa Fe |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 08/07 | Alexander Guajardo M15 Rancho Santa Fe |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 16/06 | Vit Kalina M15 Irvine · ~Hard |
1-2 | 11-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Anton Shepp vs Reece Falck?
Our model gives 71% to Anton Shepp, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.