Tennis · M25 Tamworth · 20/10, 01:00
Prediction: Ethan Cook vs Derek Pham
Team pages: Ethan Cook · Derek Pham
Prediction summary
Winner
Ethan Cook
Derek Pham
Estimated games
22.2
Recent form · 10 last
Ethan Cook
3-7 (W-L)
Derek Pham
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Ethan Cook 1426 · Derek Pham 1551
| Ethan Cook | Derek Pham | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 33% | 67% |
| Market | 23% | 77% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Derek Pham (rating 1426 vs 1551).
- Derek Pham is in better form: 60% recent wins.
- Note: Ethan Cook makes many double faults (4.3/match).
Statistics
| Ethan Cook | Derek Pham | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 20% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 17% (6) | 33% (3) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.6-1.7 | 1.4-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.5-13.5 | 12.1-10.6 |
| Aces | 6.6 | 6.3 |
| Double faults | 4.3 | 1.6 |
| 1st serve % | 67.3% | 71.8% |
| Break % | 39% | 38.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.2
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Ethan Cook
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/10 | Philip Sekulic M25 Darwin |
1-2 | 16-17 | L |
| 06/10 | Reece Falck M25 Darwin |
2-1 | 15-15 | W |
| 29/09 | Herman Hoeyeraal M25 Darwin |
1-2 | 15-19 | L |
| 13/09 | Hunter Heck Challenger Phan Thiet Qual · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 07/09 | Martin Borisiouk Challenger Phan Thiet · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 27/08 | Hyeon Chung M25 Taipei · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 26/08 | Manish Sureshkumar M25 Taipei · ~Hard |
2-0 | 14-10 | W |
| 17/08 | Seongwoo Cho M25 Taipei · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 24/05 | Alafia Ayeni Challenger Kosice · Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 07/04 | Fajing Sun Challenger Wuning · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
Derek Pham
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/10 | Zane Stevens M25 Darwin |
1-2 | 14-18 | L |
| 07/10 | Scott Jones M25 Darwin |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 03/10 | Hayden Jones M25 Darwin |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 02/10 | Jake Delaney M25 Darwin |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 01/10 | Jeremy Beale M25 Darwin |
2-1 | 16-8 | W |
| 30/09 | Joshua Charlton M25 Darwin |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 29/09 | Ashwin Ryan Sharma M25 Darwin |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 28/08 | Scott Jones UTR Pro Gold Coast · Hard |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 27/08 | Hayden Jones UTR Pro Gold Coast · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 26/08 | Alec Braund UTR Pro Gold Coast · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Ethan Cook vs Derek Pham?
Our model gives 72% to Derek Pham, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.