Tennis · Challenger Lisbon · 19/10, 12:30
Prediction: Patrick Schoen vs Svyatoslav Gulin
Team pages: Patrick Schoen · Svyatoslav Gulin
Prediction summary
Winner
Patrick Schoen
Svyatoslav Gulin
Estimated games
20.8
Recent form · 10 last
Patrick Schoen
8-2 (W-L)
Svyatoslav Gulin
8-2 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Patrick Schoen 1561 · Svyatoslav Gulin 1585
| Patrick Schoen | Svyatoslav Gulin | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 47% | 53% |
| Market | 42% | 58% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Patrick Schoen | Svyatoslav Gulin | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 80% |
| Win % · Clay | 71% (7) | 80% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-0.6 | 1.6-0.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.5-8.5 | 11.8-8.3 |
| Aces | 1.9 | 3.8 |
| Double faults | 2.1 | 1.6 |
| 1st serve % | 72.1% | 71% |
| Break % | 39.6% | 52.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.8
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Patrick Schoen
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/10 | Francisco Rocha Challenger Lisbon · Clay |
2-1 | 18-18 | W |
| 12/10 | Michael Vrbensky Challenger Maia · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 11/10 | Guilherme Valdoleiros Challenger Maia · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 08/10 | Max Alcala Gurri Challenger Braga · Clay |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 07/10 | Andrej Nedic Challenger Braga · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 05/10 | Filip Misolic Challenger Braga · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 04/10 | Alberto Barroso Campos Challenger Braga · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 20/09 | Fausto Tabacco M25 Sintra |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 19/09 | Tiago Cacao M25 Sintra |
2-0 | 14-10 | W |
| 18/09 | Robin Bertrand M25 Sintra |
2-1 | 14-12 | W |
Svyatoslav Gulin
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/10 | Takeru Yuzuki Challenger Lisbon · Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 15/10 | Gianluca Cadenasso Challenger Catania · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 13/10 | Franco Agamenone Challenger Catania · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 12/10 | Pedro Rodenas Challenger Catania · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 11/10 | Tilen Kovac Challenger Catania · Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 27/09 | Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes Challenger Bari · Clay |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 20/09 | Ryo Tabata Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 08/09 | Lukas Neumayer Challenger Tulln · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 07/09 | Andrej Martin Challenger Tulln · Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 06/09 | Rudolf Molleker Challenger Tulln · Clay |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Patrick Schoen vs Svyatoslav Gulin?
Our model gives 56% to Svyatoslav Gulin, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.