Tennis · M25 Sarreguemines · 19/10, 13:00
Prediction: Adan Freire Da Silva vs Nicola Senn
Team pages: Adan Freire Da Silva · Nicola Senn
Prediction summary
Winner
Adan Freire Da Silva
Nicola Senn
Estimated games
21.3
Recent form · 10 last
Adan Freire Da Silva
4-6 (W-L)
Nicola Senn
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Adan Freire Da Silva 1451 · Nicola Senn 1546
| Adan Freire Da Silva | Nicola Senn | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 37% | 63% |
| Market | 56% | 44% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Nicola Senn (rating 1451 vs 1546).
- Nicola Senn is in better form: 60% recent wins.
Statistics
| Adan Freire Da Silva | Nicola Senn | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 0% (2) | 75% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.9-1.4 | 1.4-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.1-11.6 | 11.1-9.3 |
| Aces | 4.1 | 4.3 |
| Double faults | 3.2 | 2 |
| 1st serve % | 69.1% | 74.6% |
| Break % | 45.5% | 46.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.3
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Adan Freire Da Silva
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/10 | Hanu Patel M25 Sarreguemines |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 13/10 | Leo Borg M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 07/10 | Kris Van Wyk M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 22/09 | Theo Herrmann M15 Forbach |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 15/09 | Thomas Faurel M25 Nevers |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 10/09 | Nikola Slavic M25 Plaisir |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 09/09 | Daniel De Jonge M25 Plaisir |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 02/09 | Matisse Bobichon M25 Bagneres-de-Bigorre |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 04/08 | Henri Haupt M15 Frankfurt |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 29/07 | Tristan Berard M15 Strasbourg |
1-2 | 15-16 | L |
Nicola Senn
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/10 | Romain Faucon M15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 08/10 | Filip Drab M15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 07/10 | Tudor Batin M15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 06/10 | Mustapha El Natour M15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
2-1 | 9-6 | W |
| 29/09 | Issah Ali M15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 23/09 | Marwan Ehab M25 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
1-2 | 15-16 | L |
| 22/09 | Maurice-Noel Kaserer M25 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
2-1 | 13-13 | W |
| 21/09 | Bahgat Bahgat M25 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 23/08 | Victor Barreira Bonzom M15 Cap d'Agde |
1-2 | 11-10 | L |
| 22/08 | Tymur Bieldiugin M25 Ueberlingen |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Adan Freire Da Silva vs Nicola Senn?
Our model gives 53% to Nicola Senn, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.