Tennis · Challenger Lisbon · 19/10, 14:00
Prediction: Dali Blanch vs Henrique Rocha
Team pages: Dali Blanch · Henrique Rocha
Prediction summary
Winner
Dali Blanch
Henrique Rocha
Estimated games
22.5
Recent form · 10 last
Dali Blanch
4-6 (W-L)
Henrique Rocha
8-2 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Dali Blanch
0–1
Henrique Rocha
(1 last)
- 12 Oct0-2 5-12L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Dali Blanch 1461 · Henrique Rocha 1537
| Dali Blanch | Henrique Rocha | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 39% | 61% |
| Market | 27% | 73% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Henrique Rocha (rating 1461 vs 1537).
- Dali Blanch dominates on serve: 6 aces and 42.1% break avg.
- Henrique Rocha is in better form: 70% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Dali Blanch 0–1 Henrique Rocha (1).
- Note: Dali Blanch makes many double faults (4.1/match).
Statistics
| Dali Blanch | Henrique Rocha | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 70% |
| Win % · Clay | 33% (9) | 50% (4) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.4 | 1.6-0.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.2-11.4 | 12.9-10 |
| Aces | 6 | 3.3 |
| Double faults | 4.1 | 1.7 |
| 1st serve % | 63.6% | 67.8% |
| Break % | 42.1% | 45.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.5
H2H · Dali Blanch 0 – 1 Henrique Rocha (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Dali Blanch 0–1 Henrique Rocha
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12/10/23 ITF M25 Tavira | 0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Dali Blanch
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/10 | Milos Karol Challenger Maia · Clay |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 07/10 | Max Alcala Gurri Challenger Braga · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 25/09 | Marvin Moeller Challenger Genoa · Clay |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 23/09 | Matthew William Donald Challenger Genoa · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 21/09 | Sandro Kopp Challenger Genoa · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 15/09 | Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo Challenger Szczecin · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 14/09 | Ivan Gakhov Challenger Szczecin · Clay |
1-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 13/09 | Jan Chlodnicki Challenger Szczecin · Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 07/09 | Genaro Alberto Olivieri Challenger Seville · Clay |
1-2 | 10-15 | L |
| 18/08 | Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves Challenger Cancun · Hard |
1-2 | 15-19 | L |
Henrique Rocha
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/10 | Sumit Nagal Challenger Maia · Clay |
1-2 | 17-17 | L |
| 04/10 | Inaki Montes-De La Torre Challenger Porto · Hard |
2-1 | 14-14 | W |
| 02/10 | August Holmgren Challenger Porto · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 01/10 | Mili Poljicak Challenger Porto · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 29/09 | Cezar Cretu Challenger Porto · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 11/09 | Dusan Lajovic Challenger Seville · Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 10/09 | Santiago Rodriguez Taverna Challenger Seville · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 08/09 | Carlos Taberner Challenger Seville · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 26/08 | Lloyd Harris US Open · Hard |
1-2 | 14-15 | L |
| 25/08 | Michael Mmoh US Open · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Dali Blanch vs Henrique Rocha?
Our model gives 68% to Henrique Rocha, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.