Tennis · Challenger Lisbon · 19/10, 14:00
Prediction: Alejo Sanchez Quilez vs Kai Wehnelt
Team pages: Alejo Sanchez Quilez · Kai Wehnelt
Prediction summary
Winner
Alejo Sanchez Quilez
Kai Wehnelt
Estimated games
22.1
Recent form · 10 last
Alejo Sanchez Quilez
5-5 (W-L)
Kai Wehnelt
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Alejo Sanchez Quilez 1555 · Kai Wehnelt 1513
| Alejo Sanchez Quilez | Kai Wehnelt | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 56% | 44% |
| Market | 77% | 23% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Alejo Sanchez Quilez (rating 1555 vs 1513).
- Note: Kai Wehnelt makes many double faults (4.1/match).
Statistics
| Alejo Sanchez Quilez | Kai Wehnelt | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 86% (7) | 50% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1 | 1.2-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.5-9.9 | 12.4-11.4 |
| Aces | 1.8 | 5.4 |
| Double faults | 0.6 | 4.1 |
| 1st serve % | 65.1% | 75.4% |
| Break % | 35.1% | 49.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.1
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Alejo Sanchez Quilez
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/10 | Duarte De Lima Sanches Challenger Lisbon · Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 17/10 | Zsombor Piros Challenger Maia · Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 16/10 | Luka Mikrut Challenger Maia · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 14/10 | Andrej Nedic Challenger Maia · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 13/10 | Max Alcala Gurri Challenger Maia · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 12/10 | Ivan Gakhov Challenger Maia · Clay |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 11/10 | Vasco Leote Prata Challenger Maia · Clay |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 05/10 | Daniel Rincon Challenger Villena · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 30/09 | Jacob Fearnley Challenger Porto · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 28/09 | Fausto Tabacco Challenger Porto · Hard |
1-2 | 7-16 | L |
Kai Wehnelt
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/10 | Milos Karol Challenger Lisbon · Clay |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 13/10 | Gianluca Cadenasso Challenger Catania · Clay |
1-2 | 14-18 | L |
| 12/10 | Alex Marti Pujolras Challenger Catania · Clay |
2-0 | 11-8 | W |
| 11/10 | Lorenzo Angelini Challenger Catania · Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 27/09 | Pierluigi Basile Challenger Bari · Clay |
1-2 | 17-18 | L |
| 15/09 | Kilian Feldbausch Challenger Szczecin · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 14/09 | Michael Vrbensky Challenger Szczecin · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 13/09 | Marcel Zielinski Challenger Szczecin · Clay |
2-1 | 18-11 | W |
| 06/09 | Mika Brunold Challenger Tulln · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 26/08 | Facundo Mena Challenger Augsburg · Clay |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Alejo Sanchez Quilez vs Kai Wehnelt?
Our model gives 67% to Alejo Sanchez Quilez, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.